Much better odds for surf as a strong SE surge builds up the coast Fri, with a broad SE fetch in the Coral Sea over next weekend and into early next week. That should see rideable surf develop Fri and hold in the fun-sized range into the weekend and potentially early week after.

A strong front and embedded trough of low pressure are currently located just off the Gippsland Coast, expected to move NE into the Tasman and driving a strong/ near gale force S’ly flow up the NSW Coast today, reaching the QLD in the wee hours of Tuesday. We may see a small increase in SE swell as the S-SE surge reaches CQ coastline on later Tues. Nothing major, but we may see surf bump up a touch into the 1-1.5ft range Tues a’noon, holding at that size or 1-2ft Wed. 

Mon should be the low point, possibly running into Tues before we see a modest rebuild in new E’ly tradewind swell as tradewinds reestablish across the South and Eastern Coral Seas.

The high pressure belt is behaving in typical spring fashion- tracking NE as it enters the Tasman with the SE surge dissipating and swells easing from that source. Combined with some swell from a tradewind band feeding into a long trough we’ll see small swells this week, just rideable on low tides. New high pressure moving into the Tasman rebuilds the tradewind fetch late this week with small swells bumping up a notch on the weekend.