Let’s cut to the chase - northerly winds (along with a lack of swell) will severely limit quality surf options across all coasts this weekend.
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A broad, multi-centered tropical low stretching from the northern Coral Sea through the South-western Pacific Ocean will remain slow moving for much of the forecast period.
The south swell that built across Southern NSW today should broaden its presence across Northern NSW on Tuesday.
The primary source of today’s strong swell has largely eased throughout our swell window, and is pulling away to the east.
There’s plenty of swell ahead for the coming days.
After many months of persistent northerly winds and mainly small swells, we have a temporary break in the pattern.
The pendulum has swung, and we’ve got some good waves on the way later next week.
In Monday’s notes I wryly noted that the model guidance had forecast nine consecutive days of northerly winds for the Mid North Coast, up until next Tuesday.
Including today, we have nine consecutive days of northerlies forecast by the computer models across Northern NSW.
The trades have been inactive of late so we’re not expecting much new energy out of the east; a minor flow is developing south of New Caledonia today and we’ll see a small uptick into Sunday (ahead of slightly bigger surf early next week).