Model divergence remains pronounced for the outcomes from this, with GFS still suggesting some kind of trough/easterly dip and enhanced E’ly swells. The European model has a more subdued outlook with a weaker high and trade-wind band remaining further north in line with seasonal norms.
Primary tabs
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/16/very-tiny-short
freeride76
Monday, 16 June 2025
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/13/fun-options-the-s
freeride76
Friday, 13 June 2025
On it’s own that will see a broad E’ly fetch develop likely in the New Caledonia quadrant, extending into the South Pacific slot. GFS adds to that recipe for a round of (sizey) trade swell with a deepening trough in the Coral Sea which spawns a surface low mid week, currently modelled to track southwards into the Tasman.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/11/decent-sse-swell
Craig
Wednesday, 11 June 2025
The swell direction will tweak more S/SE with some quality pulses due from tomorrow through the weekend, though winds are a little dicey.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/09/low-in-the-tasman
freeride76
Monday, 9 June 2025
We’ll see the low move slowly out to sea later tomorrow and generate an initial pulse of local, directional S swell before moving further into the Tasman with better angled swells produced for later in the week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/06/fun-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 6 June 2025
The story of next week is still a stalled low in the Tasman- although swell potential gets a major upgrade as the low gets moving Tues and gets into a swell generating position.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/04/sly-blast-ahead
freeride76
Wednesday, 4 June 2025
With the Tasman Sea inflamed by these robust S’ly fetches we’ll see strong S’ly swells in the short term, improving in quality as size eases from the proximate fetch and better quality swell trains fill in from below and adjacent to the South Island.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/06/02/windy-s-swell
freeride76
Monday, 2 June 2025
The energy cranks right up Wed across NENSW, trickling into SEQLD later in the day as strong winds to low end gales develop off the NSW South to Central Coast and into the Tasman and then push northwards around a trough.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/30/s-swells
freeride76
Friday, 30 May 2025
We’ve currently got a deep polar low with two strong embedded fronts tracking NE into the lower Tasman. High pressure moves up over NSW with easing pressure gradients while a trough deepens off the QLD coast and drifts south over the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/28/sizey-the-s-usher
freeride76
Wednesday, 28 May 2025
A strong cold outbreak has led to the formation of a winter-calibre low in the Tasman (984hPa), backed by a strong, slow moving high in the Bight. We’re seeing the formation of strong S swells from this system, which will peak tomorrow then ease with a following front and deep low well to the south providing a strong S groundswell over the weekend under light winds.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2025/05/26/stacks-south
thermalben
Monday, 26 May 2025
On Tuesday morning, a cold front will cross the Southern NSW coast, and a new low pressure system will then develop in the central/southern Tasman Sea during the day, strengthening overnight and stalling by Wednesday into a deep Tasman Low, a real beauty.
