Updated Forecast: World Cup at Sunset and Maui Pro at Honolua Bay
The last event of the Women's CT and of the Men's QS start on the same day next week - Monday the 25th.
With the Women's title to be decided and QS warriors making a last ditch attempt at the Men's CT, each will be a drama-filled contest irrespective of the waves.
Opening day for both events will see an easing northwest groundswell, however Honolua and Sunset have different exposure to the North Pacific so there'll be different sizes on offer.
Honolua Bay is sheltered behind Molokai, which limits size from the northwest, so there'll be minimal size on offer for the Women's. Let's call it around 2-3ft and easing. While Sunset will fare better with easing surf from the 6ft+ range, though with strong E/SE trades.
Tuesday will be smaller again leaving no real surf for the Women, while Sunset looks to drop from 4ft on late Monday to 3-4ft on Tuesday. There'll be a few waves on the point.
A small pulse of NW swell expected on the North Shore for the middle of the week won't get into Maui, with it generated by a storm even more west in position, and weaker too, as the one linked to Sunday/Monday's swell.
E/SE trades should keep Sunset clean with a slight kick in size to 3-5ft Wednesday afternoon, easing off from Thursday as the trades start to relax.
While the outlook for the first three days isn't great, it's better than what's expected from late week.
[Editor's Note: There's been a significant change in the outlook. Please see my comment below TUESDAY, 26 NOV 2019 at 9:40AM]
A very strong and dominating high will setup northwest of Hawaii, right across its prime swell window (see image above). This will deflect any swell-generating storm away from the islands, but surfers looking further afield towards Papua New Guinea, P-Pass, and the Phillipines would notice the super-charged trade swell on offer.
This high will dominate the swell window well into the start of December, with the possibility of a new swell late in the period for both events. The Women's ends a day before Sunset, on Friday the 6th of December.
Unless there's a suitable backup for the Women (possibly Hookipa) they'll be struggling to finish off the event in contestable waves.
We'll update the forecast in the comments below.