Forecast: 2025 Trestles Pro

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)
Form Guide

Trestles Pro
June 9th -17th

Following on from the Aussie Treble the CT now shoots across the Pacific for the next contest: Trestles in Southern California. Not so much a leg of the Championship Tour as a single contest. Call it the American Individual.

With the recent restructuring of the CT schedule, Trestles has been shunted forward this year, swapped with Cloudbreak, where this year's Finals Day will be held before we see a permanent (and much welcome) return to Pipeline next year.

The field has been cut to 22 on the Men’s side and 10 on the Women’s making it a more streamlined event - able to be run in three days.

That said, they still need swell, so how’s the forecast looking?

(WSL/Rowland)

Having a quick look across the "big, beautiful ocean" - otherwise known as the South Pacific - it's devoid of any major swell-generating systems until this later this weekend.

However, if we rewind back to late last week, a strong frontal progression pushed up past New Zealand’s South Island, moving further east before breaking down at about Tahitian longitudes.

This is in Trestle's long-range swell window (with a travel time of over a week), so the elongated fetch of severe-gales should generate an inconsistent yet prolonged groundswell event for next week. It'll arrive south-west before tending more south-southwest.

The initial phase of south-west energy should arrive on Monday the 9th - the first day of the waiting period - building through the day ahead of a peak on Tuesday/Wednesday to an infrequent 4 feet on the sets. 

The reinforcing south-southwest aspect should maintain 3 feet to occasionally 4 feet waves through the end of the week before fading into the following weekend.

Local winds for these four days look generally favourable with light, offshore winds ahead of weak sea breezes. Fog may be an issue some mornings but hopefully not enough to prevent competition getting under way.

It'll be fairly classic Trestles summertime conditions, though the waves may be at the upper end of inconsistency. If the swell is too slow to run heats (or conditions not ideal for other reasons), the WSL may have a contingency plan as there's a follow up southerly groundswell from a more proximate region to Trestles.

A slow moving Southern Ocean gyre forming south of Rapa Nui (Easter Island) this weekend should produce multiple fronts that will project fetches of gale to at times severe-gales from the west-southwest to the south-west.

Though the winds push through Trestles' southern swell window, some question marks remain: Forecasting models diverge on how well the fronts will be aimed towards Trestles. At this stage we may expect 3-4 foot surf from Sunday through to the end of the waiting period, arriving with greater consistency than the first swell. Local winds will also be favourable.

The second swell is a long way out, and it also may not be required if the contest gets run during the first swell, however we'll continue to track these developments over the coming days.

Comments

Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone's picture
Nick Bone Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 9:52am

3-4ft Trestles decent winds sound ideal? Shame about the consistency though.

Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67 Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 10:43am

Not the best venue as an online spectator, but I'd bloody love to surf it with three other guys

juegasiempre's picture
juegasiempre's picture
juegasiempre Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 7:06am

There's a heap of waves in Latin America that are like that, except actually facing the swell direction and if you wake up early you'd have them mostly to yourself.

Don't discount the groundswell effect though. I've had empty surfs and only got a few set waves over an hour depending on the swell period.

Fuck knows how anyone stays sane surfing trestles with a crowd; it's not the superbank with waves rolling down the point non stop.

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 11:18am

The wildcard at Trestles recently:

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 12:35pm

Looks even better here!

southernraw's picture
southernraw's picture
southernraw Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 5:46pm

He still has superior wave reading abilities.
Tough ask against Italo first round (if that's his heat) but he'll do well against the generally lower standard of CT talent (or lack thereof) this year. The hip surgery no doubt hampered him last year or so plus thowing a new grom into the mix but looks like he's starting to get that confidence and presence back again. Quarters or semis for me if he can survive the early rounds based purely on the fact he knows that wave inside out and reads it like a book and still has enough firepower to play the percentages for a few heat wins.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 5:56pm

Depends on what boards he rides I reckon.

If he rides quads like in the above clips and does proper turns he might get through a heat or 2.

If he rides his round pin thrusters like he was riding last couple of years he'll go out in the elimination round.

southernraw's picture
southernraw's picture
southernraw Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 6:33pm

100% agree especially since he strayed from what was working for him in the past over the years.

lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy's picture
lostdoggy Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 9:54pm

I couldn’t see that surfing, in the vid Stu posted, progressing past the round of 80 in a challenger series tbh.

southernraw's picture
southernraw's picture
southernraw Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 10:40pm

Ahh...now all feels balanced in the universe again @LD ;-)

NDC's picture
NDC's picture
NDC Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 8:33pm

Agree

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 11:24am

Flashes of Brilliance

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 12:27pm

As long as there are 2 sets per heat with 2 waves a set- it'll be fine.

Always enjoy watching Trestles.

zenagain's picture
zenagain's picture
zenagain Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 12:30pm

Jeez he's still pretty good.

I reckon Trestles looks super fun- one giant skatepark (or the surfing equivalent).

garry-weed's picture
garry-weed's picture
garry-weed Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 12:33pm

Soft n fluffy. Suits lightweights

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 12:57pm

Jordy has a great record there.

garry-weed's picture
garry-weed's picture
garry-weed Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 2:12pm

Undeniable. Just hope there is a little size and push.

Spuddups's picture
Spuddups's picture
Spuddups Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 12:43pm

Amazing how far those swells can travel.

Arnold Horshack's picture
Arnold Horshack's picture
Arnold Horshack Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 1:27pm

Yeah I like this comp, looks a real fun wave.

LKC's picture
LKC's picture
LKC Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 1:32pm

How long a period is it once it arrives after travelling over a week ? Obviously depends on various ocean conditions along the way? I guess this is why it become inconsistent?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 1:49pm

Around 19s.

The max swell period even after long distances depends on the maximum wind strength and longevity within the storm. You get those 22-23s swells from sustained, storm-hurricane force fetches.

LKC's picture
LKC's picture
LKC Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 1:58pm

Thanks Craig, makes sense as it need to be strong to sustain that travel distance.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 1:51pm

I forgot to mention that there's a hurricane forecast to develop off the southern Mexican coast this weekend, with it expected to track west towards the Trestles swell window, but by the time it moves out of the shadow of Baja, most models have it breaking down, not generating any meaningful swell.

Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 2:14pm

Interesting.
First of the hurricanes for the season
Stop number 8 ?
Wow this year on tour has flown by .

rooftop's picture
rooftop's picture
rooftop Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 2:48pm

I know people rubbish Trestles as a contest venue, and it's certainly not a critical or exciting wave, but TBH, when it's good it always looks like so much fun. Pretty much a perfect playing field for every surfing move in the book. If you can't rip at Trestles, you've got no excuses.

Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 2:42pm

Very soft wave imho

Nick Gee's picture
Nick Gee's picture
Nick Gee Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 5:02pm

seems we only hated Trestles when it was the finals venue.

fingers crossed it’s not too inconsistent… although that’s likely the only way Toledo will be beaten.

Go Jordy!

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 6:11pm

Is this the same system that gave WA the big day of swell in the competition, went into the bight and hit SA while delivering Vic smaller westerly swells (and rain), then spooled up in the Tasman, then it pushed north up the South Island's east coast? Would be spun out to think the waves come from the same storm.

southernraw's picture
southernraw's picture
southernraw Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 6:34pm

Fascinating observation VJ. I'm guessing so...

Yendor's picture
Yendor's picture
Yendor Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 6:52pm

This swell produced really well on the NZ east coast powerful with long period. Lots of captured fetch in this one I guess. Same gig SW first then S SW.

timneumann's picture
timneumann's picture
timneumann Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 7:59pm

I wish I could surf that gracefully, but let’s be honest. Kelly will get slaughtered at a wave like Trestles. Would be lucky to make a heat. He is still relevant at heavy barelling reefs, outside of out that he can’t compete.

jetson.rover's picture
jetson.rover's picture
jetson.rover Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 8:25pm

Don't let the facts,and evidence of the last few years (that can be easily counted on more than 1 hand now),get in the way of those that are hoping he'll turn back the clock to a time when he was still a world title contender,or at least still a chance at winning events that aren't at heavy reef lefts.

RKG's picture
RKG's picture
RKG Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 8:46pm

At least we know from Kellys recent surfing activities on the GC and over there he can't turn up and and say he hasn't surfed for 6 weeks.

Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 2:46pm

." I've been surfing all these other shapers boards for the past six weeks , my ankle flared up.
Thruster for turn, he didn't win I lost scenario."

bbbird's picture
bbbird's picture
bbbird Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 at 9:14pm

As age catches up with every athelete & mere mortal on this planet, Im hoping Slater can create another great performance. Board look floaty, skatey, very fast.
Trestles comp analysis by Kelly

shredner's picture
shredner's picture
shredner Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 1:24am

Longtime lurker first time caller. When are we all going to stop talking inconsequential fluff and file in behind Jordy, journeyman deity, short king slayer, pacifistic non-member among final-five-manifesting, yoga-mat-rolling, pink-crystal-moonlight-charging wastrels? I for one have bowed down and am printing t-shirts.

Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 2:48pm

Ke11y vs j0rdy
Round one ?

bbbird's picture
bbbird's picture
bbbird Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 6:21pm

K.Slater WSL finals commentary ....


smallsloppysyndrome

bbbird's picture
bbbird's picture
bbbird Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 at 7:53pm


Speed king... "leave some room for...."....tail slides...

sound track & videos above for educational purposes.