Climate Change Research

blindboy's picture
blindboy started the topic in Wednesday, 25 Apr 2018 at 10:07am

I thought I might again.

blackers's picture
blackers's picture
blackers Saturday, 21 Jan 2023 at 2:23pm

Nice post Craig.

I focus's picture
I focus's picture
I focus Saturday, 21 Jan 2023 at 11:00pm

Thanks Craig

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay Sunday, 22 Jan 2023 at 6:06am

Re your post, Craig:

"The world trying to balance itself out, becoming more volatile in the process..." I think Richard Lindzen's point was that it balances itself out, and doesn't necessarily become more volatile in the process.

I think it would be disingenuous, even patronising, to suggest that RL believes that there are no energy fluxes between the tropics and polar regions (re Greenhouse Effect a tropics issue). I'll have to listen to that part again to fully get his point.

Re feedback loops, he does not dismiss them, but thinks they are grossly overcooked in the current narrative, and used to corrupt the modelling.

Speaking of which, I thought many of the points raised were a good indication of how a complex message (e.g. full IPCC report) through many iterations (abridged report; precis; bullet points; MSM headlines; alarmist catch cry) gets watered down or even totally perverted.

Numerical modelling is incredible, but as I for one see every day in my job it is only as good as the data, the parametrisation, and the conceptual modelling behind it. Unfortunately most people - like my younger colleagues - have abandoned God and found NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction), so to speak. Fitting reality to the NWP is not the answer, and that goes for all science.

I listened to it with an open mind, not trying to have a certain world view confirmed, and was richly rewarded. If the last three years have taught me anything it's the importance of being able to do that, as science became coopted in the service of anyone with an agenda.

"I think as long as we all try to do our bit in regards to trying to look after our own path of turf and lessen our individual footprint, it's all for the better." I don't think anybody would argue with that, but that was never argued against, neither by RL nor JP.

This was written before my first cuppa tea, and after busy days at work, so may not be my most coherent and focused work.

Stuart Lickspittler's picture
Stuart Lickspittler's picture
Stuart Lickspittler Sunday, 22 Jan 2023 at 10:23am

Ever heard of Bex, bro?

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay Sunday, 22 Jan 2023 at 10:30am

Less cryptic, please?

Stuart Lickspittler's picture
Stuart Lickspittler's picture
Stuart Lickspittler Sunday, 22 Jan 2023 at 11:46am

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay Sunday, 22 Jan 2023 at 12:25pm

And a stiff whisky

TS's picture
TS's picture
TS Friday, 27 Jan 2023 at 9:45am

@Craig. Just going back to the Professor Plimer article that I posted last week or so where you said:

“ What's his hypothesis on the recent warming of oceans and climates world wide?”

I think on the climate time scale that he is looking at he would say that the recent warming is just noise. Climate change is due to factors beyond our control. Climate is always changing and and it will continue to do so.

Researching renewable energy is a good idea but not trying to force it into the grid too quickly with subsidies and populist policies that will damage the economy.

blackers's picture
blackers's picture
blackers Sunday, 29 Jan 2023 at 7:20pm

Plimer has form.
https://www.aap.com.au/factcheck/geologist-misleads-with-climate-change-...
And a bit of self interest too...
"Plimer was appointed director of Roy Hill Holdings and Queensland Coal Investments in 2012. According to a columnist in The Age, Plimer earned over $400,000 (AUD) from several of these companies, and he has mining shares and options worth hundreds of thousands of Australian dollars."
https://www.smh.com.au/business/a-resourceful-climate-sceptic-20100212-n...

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Saturday, 18 Feb 2023 at 11:31am

https://www.willyweather.com.au/news/96304/perth+tree+conference+investi...

Get the trees back into the cities. File this one under 'urban heat island effect'.