This week will be dominated by a low in the Tasman, which is expected to form tomorrow along a NW-SE angled trough line extending from far NENSW across the Tasman sea down to the North Island.
This low and a slow moving high pressure cell- now drifting across the Bight and expected to track over Tasmania mid-week will hold a pattern of S’ly winds and developing SE swell through the week.
Make the most of a window of lighter winds tomorrow before conditions deteriorate into the middle to end of the week, lasting for more than a few days.
Easing surf with light winds over the coming days, remaining small until the weekend with a mix of swells will develop. Next week looks active as well.
Not the best week of surf with less than ideal winds and conditions along with slower swells. The weekend looks better ahead of a much more active outlook next week.
A few fun days this period working onshore winds and swell pulses. Slow thereafter.
Not the best start for tomorrow with a low point in swell and S/SE winds, but improving into the afternoon with a new swell, cleaner Sunday. Good waves early next week ahead of large, onshore surf.
This deep S’ly fetch is expected to see wave heights build through Mon but conditions aren’t expected to be great with a strong high pressure ridge building in the wake of the front and mod S to SE winds expected.
A SE/NW angled trough in the Tasman is likely to deepen on Tuesday, possibly forming a surface low. GFS model has this low forming off the Central NSW coast, EC forms a low much further north in the Tasman, close to Norfolk Island, with a very different surf outlook from Tuesday onwards.
Tuesday is where model divergence becomes apparent. A SE/NW angled trough in the Tasman is likely to deepen on Tuesday 14/9, possibly forming a surface low. GFS model has this low forming off the Central NSW coast, EC forms a low much further north in the Tasman, close to Norfolk Island, with a very different surf outlook from Tuesday onwards.
