We’ve had the entrees for this S swell event and we’re now close to the main course with a deep low (977hPa) and gales tracking NE into the Tasman from behind Tasmania. These gales are on track to deliver the juiciest pulse of this event through tomorrow, with weak high pressure moving over NSW.

Lots of surfing options for the Surf Coast over the coming period, with Saturday the best day to target the exposed beaches.

Todays W’ly winds are the herald for a strong frontal progression which is currently unfolding at the gateway to the Tasman Sea. We have a front tied to a small low E of Tasmania with a much deeper parent low well to the south of Tasmania. There are multiple swell generating fetches associated with this complex low arrangement, with the deeper fetches off the parent low favouring NE Tas.

We've got blocking high pressure and an unfavourable storm track, with all Southern Ocean frontal activity being diverted north up towards South Australia and Victoria.