We have to be careful not to look at the model guidance in isolation, because it’s combining swell trains. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Severe Tropical Cyclone Pola - currently Category 4, south of Fiji - will curve to the south-east over the coming days.
Building N/NE windswell over the weekend, easing early next week as some new E/NE and NE swells take its place.
Small clean swell for tomorrow, then tiny until a strong though west swell builds mid-week.
Varying pulses of swell, large early next week and with favourable winds.
A mixed weekend of surf, small though fun across both coasts at stages, better next week with a strong SW groundswell and good winds as it eases.
Fun weekend for exposed beaches, with a larger and stronger swell event through next week with favourable winds.
Easing swell and then nothing significant on the North Shore until next weekend, much better in PNG.
The latest model guidance has slowed TC Pola down a little, which has increased its size potential - though delayed its arrival until very late Sunday or early Monday.
Tropical Cyclone Pola is currently E/SE of Fiji, and tracking southwards.
