Options over the coming days will become smaller as the swell eases. Winds will improve slowly down South but with fading surf. Early-mid next week holds more promise for the Mid Coast.

Next possible surf is this weekend a a tropical low is expected to drift down from the Far North QLD coast. We should see an infeed of E/NE winds later Fri, leading to a fast rising spike in E swell Sat.

Current ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes show a board fetch of strong E’ly winds now tracking SSW-SW back into the Tasman from a position half-way between New Caledonia and the North Island, generating solid ENE’ly swells which will radiate from the sub-tropics down to Eastern Tasmania this week.

A tropical low which hived off the monsoon trough and which has been providing days of chunky E swell to sub-tropical regions is now, finally, on the move. Compared to model runs the system has been much more slow moving than f/cast- which is maintaining plenty of strong E swell across our sub-tropical region.