We’re midway through the current pattern with a high pressure cell near New Zealand directing fresh NE winds towards Tasmania, weakening trough in the Tasman and an approaching complex low SW of Tasmania.

In the South Pacific we have a retrograding trough of low pressure along a tradewind band and finally, the Northern Australian Monsoon (NAM) is in full swing and a tropical low is expected to bud off the end of the monsoon trough into and over the weekend, with a reasonable likelihood of cyclogenesis into next week.

Make the most of the coming days as the outlook for next week is poor.

We've got a dynamic week of weather and surf ahead for the state, though not really impacting the South Arm. Try other coasts.