Severe TC Jasper has been slow moving and intensifying (Category 4 now) over the last 36hrs. It’s slow (2-3kts) S/SW track between 158-156E is in the NE swell window. That aids confidence in some NE groundswell from STC Jasper over the weekend.
A powerful front and parent low passing under the continent and lower Tasman Sun into Mon looks to supply long period S’ly groundswell.
Strong onshore winds will move in tomorrow, with a weak windswell for Sunday. A large, strong groundswell is due next week.
A good but inconsistent swell is due later today and for the weekend with favourable morning winds.
It’s slow (2-3kts) S/SW track between 158-156E is in the acute N/NE swell window- even though that part of the window tends to be flukey due to interference from reefs and it’s reliance on a perfect track to clear Fraser and the Breaksea Spit. That aids confidence in some steeply angled N/NE-NE groundswell from STC Jasper over the weekend.
TC Jasper is set to take a W’ly track with a Far North QLD coastal crossing now the most likely outcome and thus no real surf potential for temperate NSW.
Tiny levels of W/SW swell and strong S-SE winds for the weekend. Next week is dynamic with improving winds and a strong S/SW groundswell.
Make the most of today as the weekend looks poor. A strong groundswell is due next Tuesday, cleanest as it eases from Wednesday.
Slowly easing swell, with another fun pulse early next week.
By Fri Cat 3 or above TC Jasper will be in the middle of the Coral Sea with increasing swells for CQ.
