Our swell windows are devoid of any major synoptic activity, and with our recent glancing southerly swell now exiting to the north, we have to look towards peripheral swell sources for the short term. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A series of vigorous weather systems approaching the state this weekend are not expected to impact the coast until Monday. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Our current blocking pattern will break down over the coming days, with one heck of a complex, powerful weather progression expected to push through our immediate swell window from Saturday through Wednesday. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We’re in the midst of a regional blocking pattern with the main influence for our region being a stationary belt of high pressure across the Southern Ocean, stretching from underneath Western Australia through South Australia to a position below Tasmania.
Easing swells through Wednesday and Thursday will precede an increase around Friday, thanks to a new NE swell generated by a broad infeed into the Tasman trough.
This week’s synoptic pattern is essentially a regional block, whereby there’s very little movement in the local weather systems from day to day and therefore no major change in local winds and weather either.
The models are showing a small long period S’ly swell across Southern NSW on Tuesday and Wednesday, around half a metre at about 14-15 seconds. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We’re under the influence of a synoptic blocking pattern in the form of a stationary belt of high pressure across the Southern Ocean, stretching from underneath Western Australia through South Australia to a position below Tasmania.
So, Friday's models were pretty good with their outlook for a week or more of E’ly winds: they’re still holding this pattern through into the end of this week. The block is expected to break down this weekend though, and the outlook beyond that is pretty dynamic.
This week’s synoptics will be dominated by a large stationary high pressure system west from Perth, which will generally maintain fresh S/SE winds all week.
