The onshore winds and average swells will persistent, becoming stronger later Sunday and into Monday as winds slowly improve.

We've got successive increases in southerly swell due over the coming week, biggest on the weekend and early next week.

Windy conditions with new swells on the way, spot selection will be key.

A strong node of the long wave trough is steering fronts into the Tasman Sea while a negative phase of the SAM (Southern Annular Mode) is bringing the southern Ocean storm track into a more northerly latitude, closer to the Australian continent and Tasman Sea. Both those factors will drive a series of strong cold fronts this week, with a step-ladder effect likely as each subsequent front works on an already charged sea state.