Good surf over the coming days, slow thereafter

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 20th January)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Friday for beginners, Saturday, Sunday morning, Monday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)


  • Easing mix of S/SW and S/SE swells tomorrow, clean in the AM
  • Good new SW groundswell for Sat/Sun with light morning winds


A large pulse of S/SW groundswell yesterday with good winds for protected spots and some pumping waves at times, cleaner and smaller across Clifton today and back to 3-4ft. We'll see the swell continuing to ease into this afternoon along with sea breezes.

This week and weekend (Jan 21 - 24)

We'll see the swell from the 'bombing low' continuing to back off in size as it left our swell window yesterday. Size wise, tomorrow looks smaller and back to 1-2ft across Clifton, tiny Friday morning. Conditions will remain clean though with a variable, NW offshore ahead of S/SE sea breezes tomorrow, N/NW tending W/SW Friday.

This change in wind will be due to a strong polar low clipping the state, and with it we've got an upgrade in the swell due Saturday.

This low is forecast to deepen south-west of us on Thursday afternoon, with a great fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds forecast to be projected through our south-western swell window.

The low will be almost stationary for a bit through Friday, helping to maximise the swell potential into Saturday.

Size wise we should see strong 3-4ft sets through Saturday, holding Sunday to 3ft before easing Monday.

Winds look favourable and W/NW Saturday morning ahead of weak sea breezes, variable Sunday morning ahead of sea breezes.

Make the most of these pulses as longer term there's nothing special on the cards. See you back here Friday.