Out of season east swell now on the radar
We'll see plenty of surf surf from this system initially but there is broad model agreement we’ll see this low deepen and develop into a more powerful system mid/late next week as it drifts into a position north of the North Island. Best case scenario is a quality E’ly groundswell event from this system.
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Comments
Unexpected but welcome
yay for the subtropics!
Steve, out of curiosity, do you know how Fiji (Cloudbreak or Frigates) perform under a scenario such as the potential second incarnation of the low south of Fiji? I assume shorter period swell, though if there is enough South in the direction, it could still be fun?
I don't have direct experience of it but my understanding is - it is a swell source, but not ideal.
Better swell source for Vanuatu which is strongly shadowed by Grand Terre from the Tasman Sea swell window.
Appreciate your response, thanks Steve.
Fingers crossed for some mid-winter East swell, and pray for morning westerlies. In Huey we trust, amen
Sand back, E swell, offshores...yummy
We talkin good but not bank busting swell? Just starting to see some decent sand again for the first time since Alfred
Sand is slowly coming back hear, agreed don't want a bank busting swell at all. Thing is heavy swell is no good on our beaches anyway.
Correct, don’t get me wrong I love a solid wave, a reef, point……..but when I’ve been staring at a 150m gutter for months on end it gets old. I’m a beachie man at heart
For sure, give me a reef like in the Ments and a solid swell... but not where I live. Peeps froth over swell here, maybe they don't live in NNSW?
In fact, I can only think of a few of places I'd be prepared to travel:
Lennox... nah, can't find a car park.
Boulders: over rated
Broken Head: can only handle max 1.5 over head with way too many out.
Pass... just no.
Just north of the border: no thanks, tried that too many times.
The long range Ely groundswell that Steve is talking about definitely won’t be a bank busting event. Created too far offshore to be one of them.
100% Don.
Long range E swells usually are favourable for the sand around here.
We don't have much at the moment though, so we'll see what happens.
I feel like once per winter we get a solid, but not too solid east swell at around 11 seconds that is just pure perfection. Last year's was 12th of July if i remember correctly. Winds look like they'll be more southerly and better for the points, but i'm sure we will see some all day westerlies on the back end.
Hmmmm latest model runs have downgraded this system. Especially EC model. :(
GFS back to being as bullish as Bitcoin is this morning!!!