The large swell due for late Saturday/Sunday is looking bigger than the previously expected with observed winds over the Indian Ocean coming in above forecast. Not only that, this system is expected to intensify overnight into Thursday leading to a 12-15ft swell on Sunday, bigger at the offshore bombies.
We’ve got a new pulse of E/SE swell of the cards, generated by a small, tight low pressure system that intensified off the West Coast of New Zealand on Tuesday morning.
Tiny onshore waves tomorrow with small swell for Friday afternoon. Better swell Saturday but with onshores, cleaner Sunday and easing.
Onshore winds and building windswell tomorrow, easing Friday with more variable winds. Better mix of groundswells Saturday with clean conditions, easing Sunday and clean through the morning.
Onshore winds and weak windswells to end the week, better Saturday on the Surf Coast, and then on the Mornington Peninsula Sunday. Long-range W/SW groundswell for Monday with westerly winds.
Large E/SE swell tomorrow, easing into Wednesday with a final pulse of E'ly groundswel Thursday. Clean conditions each morning.
Easing SE swell with light winds tomorrow morning, tiny Wednesday. Small swell Friday afternoon with developing onshore winds, hanging in Saturday but remaining onshore.
Easing swell with slowly improving winds over the coming days. Good strong swell building Thursday afternoon with a larger and more powerful swell for Sunday with generally light winds at this stage.
The long and short of this pattern is that SE Qld will remain very small for much of the outlook period.
Easing swell with offshore winds tomorrow, smaller and fading Wednesday. New mix of swells for Saturday as winds swing back offshore, easing Sunday and remaining clean.
