This week is looking much more like a classic spring pattern. The ingredients are weak, mobile high pressure at sub-tropical latitudes and a series of troughs and weaker fronts tied a complex area of low pressure in the Southern Tasman and near Southern Ocean.
This week is looking much more like a classic spring pattern. The ingredients are weak, mobile high pressure at sub-tropical latitudes and a series of troughs and weaker fronts tied a complex area of low pressure in the Southern Tasman and near Southern Ocean.
We'll see a rapid improvement in conditions tomorrow as a high slides in following today's front, with another fun day near the end of the week.
Keep your expectations low regarding tomorrow and pick the windows of cleaner conditions.
A slow moving low with multiple embedded troughs will produce a long live SE swell through the coming period.
An inland low and offshore trough are generating a mix of NE winds and more proximate E’ly winds both in the Eastern Tas swell window. Onshore winds have been associated with the approaching low.
Nonetheless, there’s a nicely aimed fetch of ENE/NE strong winds located in the Northern Tasman sea into sub-tropical latitudes and a more distant tradewind fetch out near New Caledonia.
Nowhere to recommend this weekend with poor conditions, better into next week but mostly north of Margs. There's a large swell due late week.
A trough and inland low located over Victoria is now in the process of moving offshore, shunting the N’ly winds further East and bringing a regime of more variable, tending W’ly winds.
A window of fun waves tomorrow before winds start strengthening Sunday ahead of a cold front Monday and solid, stormy swell.
