Peak in NE windswell tomorrow with a run of small surf ahead

Steve Shearer picture
Steve Shearer (freeride76)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Wed 7th June)

Forecast Summary (tl;dr)

  • Prominent NE windswell sizey on Wed/Thurs
  • Winds tending offshore NW on Thurs with a morning peak in size
  • Tiny over the weekend with NW winds
  • Small NE windswell potential for Mon/Tues
  • Possible small S swells by late next week


NE windswell quickly built into the 3-4ft range yesterday under mod/fresh N’ly winds. Today has eased back a notch into the 2-3ft range with lighter N’ly breezes. More NE windswell is expected through the week. 

This week and next week (June7 - Jun 16)

The evolution of the current pattern has sped up compared to Monday’s notes with high pressure drifting towards the South Island and weakening and a low centred around the North Island moving NE. An approaching decaying front and inland trough will bring a strengthening N’ly flow tomorrow and peak in NE windswell with the end of the week seeing smaller, offshore conditions. 

In the short run we’re still looking at sizey NE windswell for tomorrow with size in the 4-5ft range, easing a notch in the a’noon. N’ly winds will tend NW in the a’noon as the front approaches, grooming surface conditionsSmaller leftovers are expected Fri with size in the 2-3ft range initially, easing back further during the day. NW winds should tend fresh W’ly as a front sweeps over the state. 

Fetch at peak strength before it gets shunted eastwards

Into the weekend and it’s looking small and low energy. A few small NE swell leftovers Sat in the 1-2ft range with Sunday seeing minor levels of S swell wrap from a passing front in the 1-1.5ft range at S facing beaches, tiny/flat elsewhere. Winds should remain mod/fresh W to NW Sat, easing from the same direction on Sunday.

A low energy surf environment extends into next week with high pressure in the Central Tasman and weak N’ly winds extending down towards Tasmania. Small surf from the S and NE is expected for Mon and Tues with some 1-2ft sets Mon, becoming slower and less consistent into Tues.

Swell ebbs away by mid week leaving tiny surf under an offshore flow as a front pushes through from the west. 

More frontal activity suggests typical S oriented swells as we move into next weekend 17-18/6 and beyond although there’s nothing to suggest any great size at this stage.

Check back Fri and we’ll see how it’s shaping up as well as take a last look at the weekend.