Increase out of the south, best as it eases and swings more east

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 26th May)

Best Days: Friday afternoon for the keen, Saturday morning, Sunday, Monday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Building mix of S swells Fri with fresh SW tending strong S winds
  • Easing S/SE swell Sat with fresh SW tending S winds
  • New SE tending E/SE groundswell Sun with W tending light NE winds, easing Mon with W tending variable winds


N/NE windswell with northerly winds yesterday, much better today and cleaner with a mid-latitude low pushing east across the state.

This week and weekend (May 27 - 30)

A small E'ly swell to 1-2ft is due tomorrow across open beaches from strong E/SE winds off New Zealand's North Island yesterday and winds will be offshore and from the W most of the day, tending W/SW late.

We then look at the strong cold outbreak due in the Tasman Sea on Friday, as well as the broad mid-latitude low.

As the low starts to develop on Thursday evening, a fetch of strengthening S/SW winds will be projected up through our swell window, swinging more S'ly through the day Friday.

A mix of swells will bring an increase in size through Friday, biggest into the afternoon and reaching 4-6ft across south facing beaches, tiny elsewhere with the swell direction. Options will be limited with the local winds though (discussed below)

With a broad fetch of strong to gale-force S'ly winds encompassing the southern Tasman Sea through Friday, we'll see the swell remain moderate in size into Saturday as it starts to ease from 3-5ft as the period grows out a little.

Winds will limit options though with a fresh SW tending strong S/SW-S breeze Friday, fresh SW tending S on Saturday.

Our better SE groundswell for Sunday is on track, with an intensification of SE gales off the southern tip of New Zealand's South Island Saturday due to spread out and into us.

Size wise sets to 3-5ft are due most of the day across the northern half of the coast, smaller to the south, easing later, with Monday seeing easing surf from 2-3ft out of the E/SE.

Winds will improve on Sunday, swinging W/SW ahead of light, NE sea breezes, W-W/NW on Monday morning and variable into the afternoon.

Longer term there's nothing major on the cards at all so make the most of the coming swell.