Pumping, easing surf tomorrow

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 24nd March)

Best Days: Selected locations tomorrow, possibly early Friday, Saturday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Large easing E/NE swell tomorrow, fading Fri
  • Fresh offshore W/SW-W winds most of tomorrow, W/NW tending NE Fri

Recap

A weak NE windswell through yesterday but today we've seen oversized, stormy surf building across the coast as a deep, powerful low moves south through our swell window, directing gale-force winds into us.

This week and next (Mar 25 – Apr 2)

The large, windy increase in swell seen today is due to a strong low moving south through the Tasman Sea, aiming gale to severe-gale E/NE-NE winds through our swell window.

The low will continue to move south this evening, with a fetch of gales continuing through our swell window until tomorrow morning.

We'll see the swell peaking overnight, then easing steadily tomorrow from the 8-10ft range, down to 4-6ft into the afternoon, then back from a less consistent 3ft on Friday.

Winds will swing offshore in the wake of the low drifting south with a fresh W/SW'ly in the morning, tending variable across some breaks through the day but remaining offshore out of the W all day at others.

Friday will be clean again with a W/NW offshore ahead of NE sea breezes.

Into the weekend, small background energy should keep 1-2ft sets hitting the coast, though you'd be best making the most of tomorrow and Friday morning.

Longer term there's nothing significant due until possibly later next week but the models are fairly divergent on the possible outcomes. More on this Friday.