This spell of tiny waves is largely attributed to the Long Wave Trough, which is doing its intensification-thing south of the continent right now, and will concurrently dish out one of the biggest SA/Vicco/western Tassie swells of the year over the next four or five days.
Late Saturday, SE Qld will start to see a small increase in short range E’ly swell, generated by a brief dip in the trades across the southern Coral Sea over the previous twenty four hours.
Today’s S/SE swell should hold through into Thursday morning but is expected to trend downwards during the day.
We’re staring down the barrel of an extended period of small flukey swells for the East Coast, which should be manageable for exposed south facing locales in Northern NSW. But the prognosis doesn’t offer much hope for SE Qld surfers.
No major changes to the weekend forecast. However, we’ve now got two distinct pulses of swell on the cards and I reckon Sunday’s going to kick quite a few more goals than Saturday.
It’s hard to be confident just how far north this south swell will penetrate by late Friday - for surfing purposes at least - but right now it’s unlikely that we’ll see much activity north of the border. In fact I think that the northern extent of Friday’s (rapid) south swell increase will probably be about Yamba or maybe Ballina at a stretch.
The current S/SE swell will fade slowly throughout the short term forecast period, however Tuesday should deliver great waves at exposed beaches with generally light winds on offer.
We’re well and truly on the backside of this swell event; it and the fresh south swell that arrived today will both throttle back through Saturday.
This swell is aimed away from the Northern NSW coast so we’re looking at progressively smaller wave heights as we track north from Seal Rocks through the Mid North Coast, North Coast and then into Southeast Queensland.
We’ve got a pretty good forecast coming up for Northern NSW (and to a lesser degree SE Qld), however the main juice isn’t due until Thursday.