Forecast: Sydney Surf Pro
May 17th - 24th, North Narrabeen
Pro surfing is returning to North Narra, albeit as a Challenger Series not a Championship Tour event. The last time the Woz visited there was in 2021 when a hastily cobbled together Championship Tour stopped off there on their way to Newcastle.
That comp was won by Gabriel Medina and Caroline Marks, and it received good if not great east and south-east swell for the event. North Narrabeen loves swell with east in it as this provides the classic bowling lefts that run down the shallow bank at the opening of the lagoon. What it doesn't like is south swells, especially pure south, as the swell line hits the bank straighter, making the left much shorter and quicker, although it can shift attention over to Alley Rights. These rights also prefer east, with southerly swells not bending in as favourably and running a little fat and slower. They will, however, keep throwing up workable but not necessarily well-shaped walls.
Lucky for that, because the only thing on the menu for the Sydney Surf Pro is south swell. With such a tricky outlook we're not going to guess which days the contest may run, and instead just forecast the conditions.
The opening day of the waiting period - Wednesday - will start off poorly. A surface trough sliding up the southern NSW coast will bring a fresh spike of moderate-sized southerly swell to 4ft, but conditions will be choppy thanks to accompanying, strong southerly winds.
The following days are expected to be smaller but with improving conditions as the trough moves east into the Tasman Sea. Smaller 2-3ft waves are due on Thursday out of the S/SE and a morning W/SW-SW land breeze should create clean-ish surface conditions. There'll likely be lots of leftover lump from the previous days' winds, with strengthening southerly winds from later morning bringing back the chop after lunch.
Similar-sized waves - that is, 2-3ft - are expected into Friday along with morning W/SW breezes that should remain favourable most of the day.
Fresh westerly winds will create clean conditions on the weekend, however there'll only be a small signal of S/SE swell. It'll be around 2ft+ on Saturday, but even smaller on Sunday with gusty offshore winds shifting to the south into the afternoon when it'll be both small and onshore - ugh.
However, the shift in winds will be associated with a strong frontal system pushing up into the Tasman Sea, bringing a renewal of moderate-sized southerly swell. Monday could see 4-5ft sets with clean morning conditions ahead of afternoon sea breezes, though we're stretching the forecast to predict winds that far out.
The swell will then ease through Tuesday and Wednesday, which are the final days of the waiting period.
We'll update the forecast as it rolls on. You can also check Swellnet's Northern Beaches Forecast here.
// CRAIG BROKENSHA
The last time the Woz visited there was in 2021 when a hastily cobbled together Championship Tour stopped off there on their way FROM Newcastle.
depends which way you are facing.
Ah the dark days when Morgan having an unexpected run to the top 5 in average waves was the only thing Aussie fans could get excited about. Very much enjoyed that run, but glad we've got some superstars again.
Pretty sure the 2021 event was mostly S swell…
Yep was mostly south swell.
Sounds like it will be cleanish and contestable on the south side of North Steyne for the whole week…
The event is at North Narrabeen though.
Was changed from Manly a few weeks ago
Nah it's been on the schedule since last year.. https://surfingnsw.com.au/surfing-nsw-unveils-2023-event-calendar-2/
To be honest I didn’t check the schedule but saw things like the links below and also heard Ronnie Blakey talking about the change happening just recently
Flyover showing Manly:
I could be wrong though…as I often am
This is from November 22 as well..
So Ronnie may have been talking about previous years?
"2023 Challenger Season which will continue the following week at the Sydney Surf Pro, which will take place at North Narrabeen, one of the global hubs of high-performance surfing. The remaining 2023 Challenger Series competitions will be announced in the coming months."
Ronnie’s comments were last week during Snapper when talking to Richie Lovett. My ears pricked up when they said Narra and the vibe from both of them was that it was a recent change. By “recent” that could still mean end of last year…unless it’s a mandela
Yeah interesting, well at least they'll get a bit more size up at Northy.
The announcement to move to NN was definitely made last year.
Ronnie may have had too many shandies the night before.
But I’m guessing on a day by day basis it would be overall more contestable at N Steyne, particularly the next few days. Depends how long it stays W/SW for in the mornings, might get a few hours in each day then pros will go around the corner to Warriewood for an arvo surf
Sunny, offshore and "contestable" on Saturday. Could be a decent turnout on the beach
Any Intel on the bank?
… planning a heist Steve?
Swell’s been east mainly and banks have been good. But after the last big swell who knows, esp given the incoming round of swell will be south. To be honest, it’s pretty rare to be good on a south swell/south wind combo.
During last contest there were some good, short right hand barrels south of the contest site while the contest was on but not ideal to hold a competition in
Compared to yesterday, the anticipated low pressure system is more north in today's forecast, thus more east in the swell for the first two days. But the wind doesn't look the best. Friday looking the most promising. Looks like they must run tomorrow. Just send them out in the slop.
They should be fine, good SE pulse due from the low now for Friday, Saturday, likely a good 3ft+.
Not bad at all.
That storm to the east looks impressive. Not sending much swell to Oz? More rain for kiwiland, not sure they need it. Is there a big wave spot on the NW tip ?
It should provide a fun pulse of SE swell for later Friday and Saturday morning to 3-4ft on the sets.
Hoping that lights up Narra love that wave but also looking at the pulse of 9m swells heading in the other direction. Big Friday for the north island?
Saturday is looking even better now, there'll be a mix of E and SE swells from the easterly and south-east fetches respectively.
We're looking at 3-4ft surf and with all day offshore winds.