There’s still some model divergence later next week but for now we’ve got reasonable confidence a broad fetch will develop through the Northern Tasman as high pressure moves into the Tasman and supplies an anchor for the low.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/18/nice-run-ely-quadrant-swells-expected
freeride76
Friday, 18 July 2025
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/16/flukey-swell-sources-the-s-short-term
freeride76
Wednesday, 16 July 2025
Not much short term gain from this system but there is broad model agreement we’ll see this low deepen and develop into a more powerful system mid/late next week as it drifts into a position north of the North Island.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/14/more-southerly-energy-inbound
thermalben
Monday, 14 July 2025
A strong front pushed into off the NSW coast the Tasman Sea overnight, and it’s generating a strong flush of south swell that’ll fill in this evening and provide a nice boost in surf size across Southern NSW.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/10/lovely-s-swell-weekend-typical-winter
freeride76
Friday, 11 July 2025
We’ll see some nice strong S pulses over the weekend as multiple fetches operate on an active sea state. Nothing huge but of winter calibre.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/08/upgraded-s-swell-outlook-the-weekend
freeride76
Wednesday, 9 July 2025
Compared to Mondays notes the outlook for S swell is improved, mostly due to a better aligned following front which conjoins the initial front and forms a slower moving low in the southern Tasman.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/07/wly-pattern-not-much-surf-until-fri
freeride76
Monday, 7 July 2025
High pressure is well up over the centre of the continent with as weak, troughy area of low pressure moving offshore from the south coast dragging a cloud band with it and offering a W’ly flow in it’s wake. That W’ly flow looks to continue through the working week as a series of cold fronts sweep across the SE of the country.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/03/fun-easing-swells-over-the-weekend-not
freeride76
Friday, 4 July 2025
The complex, coastal low is now dissipating and drifting towards New Zealand while high pressure drifts NE to sit over sub-tropical NSW/SEQLD tomorrow before entering the Tasman on Sunday with a broad low pushing across the interior of Victoria and NSW behind it.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/07/02/more-big-windy-surf-complex-low-remains
freeride76
Wednesday, 2 July 2025
A vigorous coastal low is now moving N, with a secondary low centre rotating around the primary low before forming a dual-centred system, which then slowly moves away from the NSW coast later tomorrow and through Fri.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/06/30/ecl-brings-l-xl-swells-and-severe
freeride76
Monday, 30 June 2025
A Coral Sea trough deepens into a small low and becomes continuous with a NSW coastal trough which deepens today and forms an ECL over the next 12-24hrs. By first light tomorrow morning and ECL or variant thereof will be positioned off the lower end of the MNC, likely due east of Seal Rocks.
/reports/forecaster-notes/sydney-hunter-illawarra/2025/06/26/fun-weekend-next-week-looking-dynamic
freeride76
Friday, 27 June 2025
Wed now looks very sizey with a full fledged low off the coast, E’ly gales feeding into it and L-XL surf developing along the NSW Central and Southern coastlines.
