Models are in good agreement now for strong gales to push NE of Tas as a deep low transits the Tasman Sun/Mon into an already active sea state.

Some quiet days then follow before a much more robust front and low enter the lower Tasman late in the weekend driving some sizey S swell up the coast.

The surf will start to come up from Friday, strongest on the weekend but with winds from the south-eastern quadrant.

The weekend is looking chunky with a good new S/SW groundswell.