Trickier outlook with the beaches performing the best
Trickier outlook with the beaches performing the best
The coming period isn't ideal for the Surf Coast with fun windows to the east.
The coming period isn't ideal for the Surf Coast with fun windows to the east.
Tomorrow will be minimal in size with a better chance for a surf Sunday morning.
TC Alfred is about 730 KM NE of Rockhampton and expected to move southwards today, with a SW track possible into Sat.
There are some model runs suggesting it penetrating the Tasman and developing a large wind field across the Tasman that would see larger E’ly swells into late next week.
The weekend will be decent across the South West each morning while a bigger swell is due into next week with strong offshore winds as it peaks.
Under current modelling, most major models have TC Alfred, or a sub-tropical cyclonic descendant of it, slow moving off the SEQLD coast early next week possibly drifting erratically through the whole week. That leads to high confidence for an extended period of very large surf in the sub-tropics, possibly of an historic nature in terms of size and duration.
We've got out first pulse of W/SW swell in the water with plenty more to come.
In the Coral Sea, Severe TC Alfred (currently borderline Cat4 central pressure 956hPa, expected to weaken to Cat 3 during the day) is crawling slowly SE to Southwards. TC Seru is SE of New Caledonia and weakening to tropical storm status through today as it slowly moves south-eastwards and then stalls.
We've got another two good pulses of swell inbound, though tomorrow morning will be the cleanest and pick of it.