The slowed movement and enlargement of the wind field as it approaches the North Island are on track to deliver more powerful long period E-E/NE swell, not ideally aimed for Tasmania but with enough strength to deliver some 3-4ft sets through Mon and Tues.
The slowed movement and enlargement of the wind field as it approaches the North Island are on track to deliver more powerful long period E-E/SE swell, right on the edge of the Southern CQ swell window.
There's been an upgrade in one of the storms generating Sunday's reinforcing swells.
The low (Ex TC Cody) is drifting slowly south-southeastwards towards the North Island with an extensive swath of storm force (50knot) winds along the south-western flank. These storm forces winds are embedded in an expansive gale force wind field.
The incoming swell looks to be initially a little more west in nature which is a plus.
TC Cody is the main game in town and the system has now undergone extra-tropical transition and is classified as a storm force sub-tropical low.
We've got an average run of winds and conditions, spoiling a good quality groundswell next week.
Into next week and another large cyclonic gyre forms over the North Pacific on the weekend/early next week. Gales to severe gales slingshot along the edge of the gyre, with a captured fetch reaching closer than 1000nm of Hawaii by Mon.
In the tropics TC Cody is drifting south through the South Pacific window , spraying the NSW/QLD coast with swell. The fetch is not well aimed for NETas but radial spread from the source should see some inconsistent 3-4ft sets through Mon, into Tues with winds much better on Mon.
Tiny surf to end off the week and weekend, more active next week though onshore.
