The coming week will be poor, windy and stormy until things improve and settle from later week.
The current swell will ease steadily as winds go onshore this afternoon, windy offshore tomorrow but gone. More swell with lots of wind is due mid-week.
Much better odds for surf as a strong SE surge builds up the coast Fri, with a broad SE fetch in the Coral Sea over next weekend and into early next week. That should see rideable surf develop Fri and hold in the fun-sized range into the weekend and potentially early week after.
Passing lows and troughs will bring varying winds and swell pulses. There are windows to work around though.
Much better odds for surf as a strong SE surge builds up the coast Fri, with a broad SE fetch in the Coral Sea over next weekend and into early next week. That should see rideable surf develop Fri and hold in the fun-sized range into the weekend and potentially early week after.
The fetch is very broad, basically the entire lower Tasman covered in gales under current modelling. That suggests plenty of size from the S-S/SE Thurs, persisting into Fri.
The coming period remains lack lustre swell wise with early next week looking the best ahead of next weekend.
The potential TC is unlikely to be a swell source but there is one modelled track where it briefly pushes into the swell window between Vanuatu and New Caledonia, offering some potential for NE-E/NE swell Thurs/Fri. Very low confidence at the moment and likely to be swamped by dominant S-S/SE swell in the event it does occur. We’ll revisit on Mon.
No great change to the weekend f/cast. An approaching complex trough, front and low complex will see freshening N/NE-NE winds through Sat with only a brief period of light NW winds inshore early.
Incoming troughs and lows will bring shifting winds and swells, onshore when biggest, cleanest when easing.
