Improving outlook from the late weekend
UNLESS YOU LIVE AT THE BEACH, PLEASE DON'T TRAVEL TO SURF
COVID-19 is changing the way we think about surfing. Travelling to the surf now means you're putting an unnecessary strain on the resources of small regional communities. So, please stay home. If you live near the beach and want to surf, please maintain a healthy spacing in the lineup, don't hang in the carpark, and keep your surf sessions shorter to allow others the opportunity to get wet. Above all, stay happy, healthy and look out for one another.
Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 3rd February)
Best Days: Desperate surfers south swell magnets Thursday morning, protected spots late Sunday and Monday, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Thursday morning
Bumpy conditions with easing swell from the 3ft range across the South West magnets on Saturday, cleaner Sunday morning but only 2ft or so, with a new swell kicking through the afternoon but with sea breezes.
Mandurah was a clean and fun 1-1.5ft on Saturday, tiny Sunday, micro in Perth all weekend.
Today the South West is fun across the swell magnets with inconsistent and easing 3ft to occasionally 4ft sets out of the S/SW, tiny in Perth and Mandurah.
This week and weekend (Feb 4 - 9)
Tomorrow will be hot and clean again but the swell small to tiny across the South West, easing from today and maybe 2ft or so if we're lucky. To the north it'll be flat.
Wednesday will be clean again in the morning but small again, with some background S/SW groundswell likely to build through the day and peak Thursday.
Size wise Wednesday morning looks minimal and to 2-3ft, but a better increase in S/SW groundswell is due later in the day and Thursday morning.
This is being generated by a strong polar low that's currently south of the state, with a short burst of W/SW gales produced just within our swell window before it pushed east.
South swell magnets will be the go across the South West, offering 3ft to possibly 4ft sets later Wednesday and Thursday morning, tiny to flat in Perth and Mandurah.
Winds look favourable for the south swell magnets Thursday with a E/NE-NE offshore ahead of NW sea breezes, poor Friday with light to moderate onshore winds and fading surf.
Our longer term outlook is still positive with a couple of significant storms forecast to develop in the Southern Ocean over the coming week and weekend.
The first will intensify around the Heard Island region, with a polar low due to produce a fetch of W/SW gales while projecting up towards us mid-week, weakening late week but releasing a front/trough which looks to move in with the swell on the weekend, bringing onshore winds.
The groundswell will fill in behind the trough on Sunday, building to 8ft+ across the South West into the afternoon, easing from a slightly smaller size Monday, 2-3ft in Mandurah and Perth.
S/SW tending S/SE winds are due on Sunday, similar S/SE on Monday favouring protected spots and better Tuesday once the swell's smaller.
A secondary less consistent but longer period swell is due later week, generated by a more distant polar low forming south-east of South Africa Thursday. A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds are forecast, though the storm will weaken just east of Heard Island.
Size wise this one might be a bit smaller and more 6-8ft in the South West and 2ft+ further north, building Wednesday and easing Thursday but with more favourable offshore winds. More on this Wednesday though.