Small weekend, better early next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 4th March)

Best Days: Sunday morning, Monday morning, Tuesday morning, early Wednesday morning

Recap

The swell dropped back into yesterday morning more to the 4ft range with an OK SE breeze while Perth and Mandurah were tiny. Today smaller surf is breaking across the coast with a less favourable S/SE'ly.

This weekend (Mar 5 - 6)

There's no real change to the weekend forecast with a slight increase in SW groundswell due tomorrow afternoon across the South West, to 3-4ft, easing back from around 3ft Sunday morning.

Conditions will improve each morning with SE breezes tomorrow (possibly veering E/SE at times) and then E/SE Sunday morning ahead of sea breezes.

Next week onwards (Mar 7 onwards)

Our pulses of SW groundswell for early next week are still on track, with an initial fetch of severe-gale W'ly winds generated south-east of Heard Island yesterday. This has produced an initial pulse of long-period SW groundswell due to peak Monday morning to 4-5ft across Margaret River, but now offer much over 1ft in Perth.

A better but slightly weaker fetch of slow moving W'ly gales should produce a slightly stronger pulse of SW groundswell for the afternoon more to 6ft, peaking Tuesday morning around a similar size before easing into the afternoon and further Wednesday and Thursday. Perth should see slightly better but inconsistent 1-2ft sets Tuesday morning before easing through the day.

Winds are looking great Monday through Wednesday with straight E'ly offshores on the former, tending E/NE Tuesday and then NE Wednesday.

Longer term we've finally got something better to look forward to, as a strong node of the Long Wave Trough develops and moves in from the west during next week.

This should aim a strong polar low up through our south-western swell window, hopefully generating a moderate to large SW groundswell for later next week/Saturday, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend.

Comments

Guy Dixon's picture
Guy Dixon's picture
Guy Dixon Monday, 7 Mar 2016 at 8:33am

Could be worse.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 7 Mar 2016 at 9:46am

Pumping!!

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 7 Mar 2016 at 12:02pm

Today's swell has come in a bit bigger than expected :o