Fun swell tomorrow with deteriorating winds, good for exposed spots from Sunday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 21st October)

Best Days: Early Thursday in the South West, Sunday onwards exposed breaks in the South West

Recap

Solid clean and easing 5-6ft waves across the South West yesterday morning with 2ft sets around Mandurah and Perth before sea breezes kicked in.

Today conditions are clean again but the swell smaller with a reinforcing pulse keeping 3-5ft sets hitting exposed breaks, with 1-1.5ft waves around Perth.

This week and weekend (Oct 22 - 25)

This afternoon a stronger kick in SW groundswell is due across the South West (not arriving till after dark around Perth), easing through tomorrow.

This groundswell should offer good 5-6ft sets across the South West with 1ft to occasionally 2ft waves across Perth, easing into the afternoon.

Come Friday the swell should steady as a reinforcing SW swell fills in, generated by a fetch of pre-frontal W/NW gales behind the main progression responsible for later today's swell.

This should keep 3-5ft waves hitting exposed breaks around Margs but only come in at 1-1.5ft around Perth.

Winds aren't looking as favourable for tomorrow as a deepening surface trough over the state drifts east, bringing SE tending S/SE winds to the South West, with onshore W/SW winds around Perth (possibly variable on first light).

Friday will then see S/SW onshores across Margs, with SW winds around Perth.

Some small weak S/SW windswell will develop from these onshore winds, but not above the size of the reinforcing SW groundswell Friday.

Into Saturday the swell will ease back a touch further, steadying Sunday to an inconsistent 3-4ft+ across swell magnets in the South West and 1ft around Perth.

Winds will improve a touch from the S/SE Saturday, with Sunday being the pick under E/SE offshores before S/SW sea breezes kick in.

Next week onwards (Oct 26 onwards)

There's nothing too major on the cards for next week, with small background levels of SW groundswell with favourable offshore E/NE winds each morning up until Thursday.

The storm track will remain focussed away from us into the middle of end of next week, with a touch more size due into Thursday/Friday. Winds may go funky though as a weak low develops off the coast, directing weak NW winds into us, but we'll review this Friday.

Comments

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Thursday, 22 Oct 2015 at 8:26am

Some bombs at Margs this morning.