Slow weekend, good swell with offshores Tuesday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Western Australia Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 31st October)

Best Days: Early Saturday morning exposed breaks across the state, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning


Poor conditions were seen across most spots yesterday, while today a new SW groundswell and improving winds in the South West swinging from S/SE to E/SE has created good waves at semi-protected locations, persisting into this afternoon. Perth and Gero were still average with a tiny swell and S'ly winds along the former and lighter more variable winds around the former.

This weekend (Nov 1 - 2)

Saturday morning will offer the only decent waves for the weekend and it'll be at exposed spots across the state with today's swell easing away and becoming small. Early E/NE winds will swing NE in the South West, so don't leave it too late in the morning, with a shift to the W/NW due into the afternoon.

Sunday will be clean early around Perth and Gero and possibly Margs with variable winds (freshening from the NW into the arvo), but the swell will be small to tiny.

Monday onwards (Nov 3 onwards)

Our good pulse of W/SW groundswell with offshore winds Tuesday is still on track, with a strong and broad frontal system pushing through the Southern Indian Ocean over the weekend due to project a slow moving fetch of W/SW gales towards us.

This should produce a large W/SW swell that's due to build through Monday and peak Tuesday to 6-8ft in the South West, 2ft to occasionally 3ft in Perth and 4-5ft up at Gero.

Winds on Monday will be average and onshore from the SW tending S/SW, but Tuesday looks great as a high moves in, swinging winds offshore from the East in the South West, E/SE around Perth, while Gero looks to see SE winds.

As the swell eases Wednesday we should again see morning offshores generally from the East across all locations.

Our secondary longer-range pulse of W/SW groundswell for Friday is still on the cards, but the size looks to be down a bit on earlier forecast expectations.

The front generating this swell will be stronger than the one producing Tuesday's swell, but further away, smaller and weaken before passing a line east of Heard Island.

This will result in a lot of swell decay resulting in a very inconsistent and only moderate sized W/SW swell. Margs should come in at an inconsistent 4-6ft, Perth 2ft, and Gero 3-4ft. Winds look to be onshore anyway with a weak front pushing across us, but we'll look at this in more detail Monday. Have a great weekend!