TC Alfred is in the Coral Sea, currently about a 1000km NE of Mackay and slow moving, expected to slowly track southwards from today. TC Rae has sped off SE to the graveyard and TC Seru is located between Vanuatu and Fiji and moving S/SE. In this complex brew,  we’ll see multiple swell trains from the NE-E quadrant, although large swells are becoming increasingly unlikely as models firm on a coastal crossing for TC Alfred (still uncertainty over this track!) and the South Pacific cyclones track south-eastward, then eastwards as dissipating systems. 

The outlook from Friday is good with options right across the state with increasing swell pulses.

The coming period is tricky both size and wind wise, better into early next week.

The trade-wind fetch is relatively robust and will be a long-lasting swell producer for the east coast, favouring sub-tropical areas for size with some small swell filtering down to NETas through the week.