Great surf from Friday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 24th May)

Best Days: Keen surfers Surf Coast tomorrow, Surf Coast Friday from midday, both coasts Saturday, Surf Coast Sunday and early Monday

Recap

The average westerly swell expected yesterday and today has failed to provide any size on the Surf Coast, while the Mornington Peninsula has been really slow and only around an inconsistent 2-3ft.

We should see a slight bump in size this afternoon as winds hold from the west, but again this size will be very limited in protected locations on the Surf Coast.

This week and weekend (May 25 – 28)

Tomorrow morning should be a bit better on the Surf Coast with a peak in mid-period W/SW swell, coming in at 2ft for the most part, with the odd 3ft set at magnets. The swell will ease through the day, and a N/NW tending NW breeze will create favourable conditions all day.

From Friday things finally get a little more interesting.

Our strong new W/SW groundswell is still on track, with a vigorous and tight low forming in the Indian Ocean, generating storm-force W'ly winds, now sitting south of WA.

A great fetch of W/SW gales is continuing to be aimed through our western swell window, and this system will continue pushing east while weakening this evening and tomorrow.

A good consistent W/SW groundswell will result, building through Friday. The morning will only be small, but into the afternoon we should see strong sets showing on both coasts, reaching 4-5ft by dark on the Surf Coast and 6-8ft on the Mornington Peninsula.

Conditions are looking excellent on the Surf Coast with a NW tending variable wind, while fresh N/NW-N winds Saturday as the swell eases, will favour the beaches. The Surf Coast should ease from 3-5ft, with 6ft+ sets on the Mornington Peninsula.

Sunday morning will be a bit smaller but a new W/SW groundswell is due to build through the day, generated by a secondary strong low tracking east from the Indian Ocean.

This system will be a bit weaker and placed further north initially, but we'll see it stall south-west of us on the weekend, generating some mid-period W/SW swell for us as well.

We should see wave heights climbing back through Sunday from 3ft to 3-5ft on the Surf Coast into the afternoon and fresh NW tending W/NW winds will keep conditions clean.

We should see solid waves into Monday with a reinforcing S/SW swell also in the mix, but we'll have a closer look at this Friday.

Comments

Average's picture
Average's picture
Average Wednesday, 24 May 2017 at 6:37pm

What a disappointing outlook. Guess it won't be worth surfing this weekend. Might as well find other things to do.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local Wednesday, 24 May 2017 at 9:13pm

Great so we can expect a shit load of blow in dickheads who never look left when taking off on the points. It's been a complete circus down here this year. Farken SUPs taking set waves at Winki. Stay the fuck away if you're planning on bringing down ya shit attitudes.

ringmaster's picture
ringmaster's picture
ringmaster Wednesday, 24 May 2017 at 10:53pm

Fuck pal......if you're sharing Winkipop with SUPs you're surfing there on the wrong days.

Wharfjunkie's picture
Wharfjunkie's picture
Wharfjunkie Thursday, 25 May 2017 at 8:18pm

Ha ha if people don't wait their turn its acceptable to drop in on them and worse case scenario fight them. But SUP riders who are from a surfing background are usually fine its the retiree type SUP rider who seem to be the worst.