Fun Friday, weekend looking workable

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 7th Octorber)

Best Days: Friday morning both coasts, possibly both coasts each morning over the weekend, Monday morning Surf Coast

Recap

Large strong W/SW groundswell yesterday to 3-5ft on the Surf Coast and 8ft+ on the Mornington Peninsula under stiff morning offshores. Winds tended more W'ly into the afternoon ahead of a mid-late afternoon onshore change, but most had had their fill by then.

This morning onshore winds continued in the wake of the change with average 3-4ft waves on the Surf Coast and messy 6-8ft surf on the Mornington Peninsula.

This week and weekend (Oct 8 – 11)

Tomorrow will continue to provide plenty of surf across both coasts, but the only issue are the local winds.

As a ridge of high pressure moves in from the west, today's onshores are expected to swing moderate SE-E/SE creating generally average conditions.

A good new W/SW groundswell is due to build through the day, kicking hardest later, generated by a healthy and good fetch of W/NW gales moving in from under WA towards Tassie.

This should see the Surf Coast kick back to 3-4ft later in the day with 6ft to occasionally 8ft sets on the Mornington Peninsula, easing back from 3ft to occasionally 4ft and 6ft to sometimes 8ft respectively Friday morning.

Conditions will be much better Friday for a surf with light variable winds due across both coasts, tending N/NE on the Mornington Peninsula and likely light N/NW on the Surf Coast before SE sea breezes kick in.

Saturday's fluky pulse of S/SW groundswell has been upgraded a bit and is now due to come more from a SW direction.

This is due to the frontal system generating the swell now due to be strongest and best when generating its pre-frontal W/NW fetch, before dissipating when moving into our southern swell window.

We can expect the Surf Coast to persist around 2-3ft Saturday with 6ft surf on the Mornington Peninsula, easing later in the day and then steadying through Sunday.

Winds are dicey though with a weak SE'ly due through Saturday and Sunday. There is however a good chance for periods of variable winds at times through each morning as is often seen with these funky troughy patterns, so don't totally write-off the weekend. We'll have a greater confidence of this occurring on Friday though.

Next week onwards (Oct 12 onwards)

A new pulse of W/SW swell is due on Monday from a good but small fetch of pre-frontal W/NW gales swinging in from the Indian Ocean again and this should provide 2-3ft sets across the Surf Coast Monday morning and 5-6ft waves on the Mornington Peninsula.

Winds are looking dicey again with a deepening surface trough pushing in from the west, with a possible period of early W/NW winds, swinging S'ly through the day.

Longer term there's nothing too major on the cards with a couple of blocking highs set to dominate our swell windows, but we'll have more on this Friday.

Bells yesterday..

 

Comments

willibutler's picture
willibutler's picture
willibutler Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 1:54pm

Are there any open spots that can handle Se wind for the weekend

Gary G's picture
Gary G's picture
Gary G Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 4:11pm

Yeah Willi, you'll get some sick waves at a spot I like to call Gary's

Basel_Baz's picture
Basel_Baz's picture
Basel_Baz Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 11:05pm

Gary mate I think you need to simmer down and stop being chirpy. A member of the community has asked a solid question but you have answered with a load of bs. Stop trying to be funny mate cause that attempt of humour was worse than J.Kennedy's grand final performance. CRAP. Unfortunately mate you won't be getting the three votes for your input, instead -3 votes for you. gary's is probs a spot which is never bigger than 1/2 a foot and only powerful enough to be ridden by lanks like you. It would also crumble and be surrounded by clouds cause you hate the contact. Basically no-where on the surf coast is good on onshore winds as onshore = sloppppppppyyyyy.

Gary G's picture
Gary G's picture
Gary G Thursday, 8 Oct 2015 at 10:19am

Sounds like you need a nice relaxing spray tan Baz.

Gary's is very real, but I don't kiss and tell when it comes to surf spot locations - particularly those which can be surfed on conditions that wipe out most other waves on the coast. Call me old fashioned.

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Thursday, 8 Oct 2015 at 3:10pm

Found it

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Thursday, 8 Oct 2015 at 3:11pm

.

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 4:55pm

Torquay Pt.

willibutler's picture
willibutler's picture
willibutler Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 5:12pm

Funny

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 5:18pm

None on the peninsula

willibutler's picture
willibutler's picture
willibutler Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 8:00pm

T

Sorrento's picture
Sorrento's picture
Sorrento Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 7:14pm

Goofy and will I can think of a spot Sorrento back beach, works on onshore winds but size might be a problem as it only really starts to fire when everywhere is 10ft+ and onshore. I honestly sometimes think it offshore on a SE, was there once where it was 12ft+ out the back and it was nice in close and was realtively clean. Since think it's only 6ft along the Mornington stretch there is the reef spot to the side that will work maybe a few sneaky barrels. You could get pitted off your Tits.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Wednesday, 7 Oct 2015 at 7:45pm

Yeww

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Thursday, 8 Oct 2015 at 10:37am

With 30 boats for 2 hours ... fuck that, way better SE spots