The low near the South Island has had a fetch of ESE winds towards Tasmania, not ideally aligned but radial spread from the source fetch should see surf in the fun size range through Tuesday.
Nothing too special this period with a fading S/SE swell tomorrow, then tiny ahead of some possible swell from Sunday.
We've got a fun swell for tomorrow with workable winds, cleaner Wednesday while the swell for late in the week has been downgraded and delayed a little.
This week is looking much more like a classic spring pattern. The ingredients are weak, mobile high pressure at sub-tropical latitudes and a series of troughs and weaker fronts tied a complex area of low pressure in the Southern Tasman and near Southern Ocean.
This week is looking much more like a classic spring pattern. The ingredients are weak, mobile high pressure at sub-tropical latitudes and a series of troughs and weaker fronts tied a complex area of low pressure in the Southern Tasman and near Southern Ocean.
We'll see a rapid improvement in conditions tomorrow as a high slides in following today's front, with another fun day near the end of the week.
Keep your expectations low regarding tomorrow and pick the windows of cleaner conditions.
A slow moving low with multiple embedded troughs will produce a long live SE swell through the coming period.
An inland low and offshore trough are generating a mix of NE winds and more proximate E’ly winds both in the Eastern Tas swell window. Onshore winds have been associated with the approaching low.
Nonetheless, there’s a nicely aimed fetch of ENE/NE strong winds located in the Northern Tasman sea into sub-tropical latitudes and a more distant tradewind fetch out near New Caledonia.
