NE winds off the South Coast extend down to Bass Strait and freshen o/night Tues into Wed with increasing NE windswell expected Wed.
There's nothing major due this period but there are lots of small, fun surf days.
All the headline action is in the tropics with a cyclone (TC Kirrily) expected to form within the next 24-36hrs in the monsoon trough NE of Cairns. A coastal crossing in N.QLD now looks the most likely outcome with limited surf potential for our region, at least in the short/medium term.
There's a bit of swell due this period with workable but not ideal winds.
The coming week isn't great but the weekend and early next week look fun with a good run of W/SW swell.
Looking south to more local sources then we have a relatively weak high (1022 hPa) moving under Tasmania with a long trough and front in the Tasman directing a S’ly fetch through the Central-Southern Tasman. Once that swell source fades we’re back to typical summer sources with a NE windswell expected late this week and a minor S swell event into the weekend.
The beaches will be OK tomorrow ahead of a better run of swell with favourable winds from late week.
All eyes on the Coral Sea where this tropical low is expected to deepen into a tropical cyclone that is expected to be slow moving.
A compact low is tracking SE away from Tasmania with a nice slingshot fetch in the process of entering the Tasman adjacent to the Apple Isle. A retrograding fetch in the South Pacific is currently active and expected to send some fun surf our way over the weekend.
Clean morning conditions and a good but easing S/SW swell is due on the weekend, with some fun S/SW energy for early next week.
