S swells pulse up and down into the Easter weekend

Steve Shearer picture
Steve Shearer (freeride76)

Eastern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Mon March 25th)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Stronger S pulses next week on Mon/Tues
  • More S swell Wed PM
  • S swell holding into Thurs PM
  • Easing S swells Good Fri
  • Small S swell Sat
  • Possible S/SE groundswell Sun, easing Mon
  • More S swell next week


Small S swells over the weekend with Sat in the 1-2ft range with better winds in the a’noon. Sun had stronger surf to 2ft at S facing beaches and offshore winds and today has seen building surf in the 2-3ft range at S facing beaches with mostly W’ly winds. 

This week and next week (Mar 25 - Apr5)

We’ve got an extensive high pressure belt  with weak cells in the Tasman and near Indian Ocean and a stronger cell in the Bight. Compared to summer high pressure we’re seeing a slight seasonal shift northwards in the belt although later in the week the strong high in the Bight does move towards Tasmania at a more typical summer latitude. For now, frontal activity is being allowed to track in a more favourable manner for S swell production so we’ll see a week of small/moderate S swell pulses  leading into the Easter weekend. Read on for details.

Todays pulse persists into tomorrow with mod S swell offering 3 occ. 4ft sets at S facing beaches under continuing W’ly winds shifting more SW 

later in the a’noon.

High pressure slowly moves over the state Wed into Thurs with light winds developing, mostly weak S-SE breezes. Easing swells Wed mornign before the next pulse fills in the a’noon to 2-3ft at S facing beaches. Expect that to be on the ease by Thurs morning with a few 2-3ft sets early, dropping back through the day under light breezes.

By Fri we’ll at the low point in the f/cast period with small leftovers to 1-2ft or less and light land and seabreezes.

Into the weekend and more small S pulses are expected with winds shifting N-NE on Sat and freshening into Sun before a S’ly change late in the day.

Small S swells Sat in the 1-2ft range at S facing beaches are on offer.

A stalled low near the ice shelf should see some S/SE groundswell Sun with sets to 3ft under NE winds. The NE fetch may see some minor NE windswell develop to 2ft during the a’noon. 

Next week starts small with a local S change bringing some small S swell and S’ly winds, easing quickly into Tues. 

Models are divergent about the strength and alignment of the southern ocean storm track but there’s reasonable odds a strong frontal system will see some sizey S swell develop on Wed likely with light winds as high pressure approaches or passes over the state.

That’s still a long way off so lets see how it’s shaping up on Wed.