James KC

Series of S swells for next week

Sydney Hunter Illawarra Surf Forecast by James Casey (issued Friday 9th April)

Best Days: From mid morning Saturday. Sunday mid morning with SW winds and a building S swell. Tuesday next week with light NW winds and an easing S swell. 

Outlook:

  • Moderate S swell for Saturday with improving winds
  • Larger S swell to build into Sunday afternoon and peak later on Monday
  • Light NW winds and easing S swell on Tuesday 
  • Long range flukey S groundswell for Thursday 

Recap

The S swell starting faded out on Thursday as a new E/NE swell built to become the dominant swell. By yesterday afternoon there were 3-4ft sets out of the NE on offer with just the odd set out of  the S acting more as a background swell source. 

Winds were light and offshore early in the day before swinging around to the SE late run the day but remaining light, just creating a bit of bump to it. 

Today winds are offshore bringing clean conditions with a combination of the 3-4ft E/NE swell and a lingering S swell. Nice waves to be had at plenty of locations.

Into the weekend and start of next week

The E/NE swell will continue to be the dominant source of swell into this afternoon. Winds will remain offshore for most of the day before a strong S change rolls through later in the day.

This S change will bring an end to the nice conditions experienced for most of the day. It looks to arrive around 4pm for the Illawarra, around sunset for Sydney and later in the evening for the Hunter.

Saturday morning will be a bit bumpy from the strong S winds overnight but it will clean up from mid morning as winds ease and swing around to the W/SW and remain that way into the afternoon. Swell wise there’ll still be the E/NE swell around but the main energy source will be a shorter period S swell will be whipped up from the short lived S change moving up the coast. It'll be 2-3ft and more like 3ft+ for the Hunter, best for your local S swell magnet. 

Another stronger SW change will move through on Sunday with the air temperature becoming noticeably cooler but keeping things relatively clean out there. Sunday morning wil be the low point in the swell with just bit and pieces of the S and E/NE swell hanging around. 

By the late afternoon a solid S swell will have filled in not quite at it’s peak but around the 3-5ft mark. The swell will reach it’s peak on Monday afternoon up around the 5-6ft mark, larger at S swell magnets and smaller in protected southern corners.  

This larger S swell will be generated to the southwest of Tassie and continue to be reinforced by more local S winds east of Tassie and up the entire east coast. 

The swell will still be solid on Tuesday morning but it will begin to gradually ease throughout the day, dropping to 3-4ft by the afternoon. Winds will be lighter in the morning out of the NW before strengthening out of the NE into the afternoon. This will allow you to make the most of what’s left of the S swell at S facing beaches are cleaner with the N winds. 

Later next week

Wednesday will see winds swing around to the NW and strengthen before another strong S change moves in on Thursday. 

Swell wise there'll be a pulse of S/SE swell delivering 3-4ft waves on Wednesday easing to 2-3ft sets on Thursday. 

This swell will be whipped up by an intensification of winds on the backside of the front. 

Winds on Thursday will be more SW earlier in the day before swinging around to the S and then SE later in the day. 

Friday will see winds light and onshore early before strengthening out of the NE ahead of yet another SW change to fill in later in next weekend. More on that on Monday. 

Comments

Lottolonglong's picture
Lottolonglong's picture
Lottolonglong Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:09pm

Some good waves on northern beaches today but I gotta say watch out for the basket ball size jellyfish (yellowish/orange)
I had one brush up on my ankle then another on back of my leg and it not only stung bad for 30mins it also made my thigh gland swell and my nuts were pretty sore for the drive home

Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:15pm

Ha I saw them too and I was well north of you. I swear they were swimming towards me at times!

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:47pm

Yep paddled into a couple of huge tropical specimens, luckily not much of a sting.

batfink's picture
batfink's picture
batfink Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 10:54am

I hate those things, they used to always be around in Botany Bay, and would often fill up Brighton Baths where we would sometimes have school swimming comps, and the teachers would make you swim through them for your race. Haven’t seen one in years. Tended not to sting though, but were always accompanied by sea lice. Itchy cossies.

Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 5:44pm

The teachers made you swim through the jellyfish!
Bloody 'ell, can you imagine if they did that these days?
Me neither.
Funny though that you mention the sea lice associated with the jellyfish . I got liced a few times on Friday, and its been a long time since I've had that.

Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:14pm

Today was a good day. 7/10 on the report, but I am adding a couple of points to that.

I recall me and old mate out the back early this morning scratching our heads wondering why there was only 6 blokes out. I checked a spot on the way down but knew this place would be the go, E/NE swell NW wind and all. Surfed from 7 till 10, and got some absolute crackas. Just one of those days when you're in the right spot at the right time. And that's as rare as these type of days. By the time I got out, there was close to 30 punters out there.

After some refreshments at the local Fish'n'chip shop, I go and check out a couple of other places. I made the right choice. So it's back out at midday, and blow me down, there's only about 6 blokes out. Again! The water was a beautiful 23 degrees, the sun was out, wind offshore, and I just scored 3 smokin' set lefts in 15 minutes! Another couple of hours, and I am officially rooted.
(Note to self: more cardio-vasc would help on days like these.)
Anyhoos hope ya's got a few.

FrazP's picture
FrazP's picture
FrazP Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 8:16pm

Special. Jealous, very jealous.

Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 5:50pm

You'll get yours FrazP.

FWIW I was too sore and stiff to surf yesty, but scored very nicely this arvo with (again) about 6 blokes out.
Very tidy left and rights at 3- 4 foot with the odd boomer sets. I'd give it a solid 8 out of 10.

As above, hope ya got a few.

sean killen's picture
sean killen's picture
sean killen Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:38pm

mate I’m hearing ya the session today at the local was unbelievable scored some incredible barrels.. worth the wait for the sets.. 4 out .. freight train lefts and some peaky rights ..will put the head down tonight one happy boy.. and 15 beers will help..

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:48pm

Haha, how good lads, yep sick couple of days on the beaches!

SimonJ's picture
SimonJ's picture
SimonJ Friday, 9 Apr 2021 at 6:50pm

I give it 8.5 out of 10....you may recall I asked for some advice for a surf spot between newy & avoca. Craig said check google maps, "Halfscousehalfc" said terrigal.....I looked at the map & remembered surfing at a particular beach 10 + years ago so went for that option & was happy with the outcome....2-6 guys out 3-4 peaks, got heaps of waves. Beach busy with swimmers but not surfers. You rarely get that in sydney.

Daltz007's picture
Daltz007's picture
Daltz007 Saturday, 10 Apr 2021 at 10:56am

Solid today on the cenny coast, whoah mumma. Hope you getting some.....boooom.

Panman's picture
Panman's picture
Panman Saturday, 10 Apr 2021 at 4:37pm

Saturday arvo and your spot on so far with the forecast here on coal coast
Looking forward to that 11 second southie

JDevil's picture
JDevil's picture
JDevil Saturday, 10 Apr 2021 at 9:50pm

What's with the Cronulla/Eastern beaches report saying 3ft this morning?
Sets were easily 5-6ft and 6ft+ on northern ends at 6am. I'm using the buoy and my eyes to make the call. I use the report to look at the photos after a sesh and it just looks funny. I'd rather keep the kooks away by reporting the true size here.

batfink's picture
batfink's picture
batfink Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 10:58am

Was a great beach day on Friday. So many surfers though, so a body bog it was. Just about as good as it gets for that. Just a better option to have 50 metres of flagged area between 2 or 3 people out the back.

Bubble elder's picture
Bubble elder's picture
Bubble elder Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 2:40pm

Hi James! Any change to the size or timing of the swell for Tuesday morning in the Illawarra?

Bubble elder's picture
Bubble elder's picture
Bubble elder Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 3:16pm

Sorry swell for Monday arvo

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 6:17pm

not sea lice.
the itch is actually broken off pieces of tentacles with still active nematocysts.

Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake's picture
Westofthelake Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 6:26pm

It's funny you mention that freeride. I don't think this is what you are talking about but I got a real close up and personal with one of them and noticed a fine blue feather-like strands (about 1cm long) around the entire top edge of the blubber. Reminded me of blue very tiny blue bottle tentacles. I remember thinking I must have had a bit of a rumble with one as I took off late and got too personal with the lip, leading to substantial washing machining. Not long after I was itching/stinging in few places. Like as I mentioned above just thought it was sea lice.

Mcface's picture
Mcface's picture
Mcface Sunday, 11 Apr 2021 at 7:34pm

Been a good run for a while now. Had some great 3ft banks on the power mid nth coast Saturday. Then an amazing sesh coming back home this afternoon at a place that deals with straight s swells under the grooming offshore. What a ripper