A deep Tasman low is expected to reach peak strength through this a’noon, with a general southwards movement favouring ETas, as it places the fetch wrapping into the SE quadrant within the swell window.

The trough off the NSW Coast is expected to deepen and in conjunction with the large high moving at Tasmanian latitudes, create a large SE to E’ly fetch aimed at NENSW and SEQLD.

It's hardly an autumn surf outlook in the early stages of the month unfortunately.

Severe gale force winds are proximate to the NSW Coast and are well placed to generate plenty of S swell for Tasmania before a better angled ESE to E swell hits on the weekend.