Low moves out, S swells move in
South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by James Casey (issued Wednesday 7th April)
Best Days: Calming down Thursday and Friday. Moment of calm on Saturday. Tuesday morning for N NSW and Mid N Coast.
- Low starting to move south bringing more options across all coasts
- Improving tomorrow for N NSW and SE QLD with swell still around
- Better for Mid N Coast on Friday with a fresh pulse of E/NE swell
- SE swell from western flank of low on Friday as low moves east
- Series of S swells from Sunday into start of the new week
- First S change weaker, second stronger with larger S swell
Most of SE QLD was a mess yesterday with E/SE winds and a solid 4-6ft swell. The few spots that were working were pumping with plenty of barrels to be had.
N NSW similarly didn’t have many options but the spots that were working were pretty good.
As is usually the case when there aren't many options, crowds were an issue. Only helped out by the amount of water moving around.
Mid N Coast saw a bit less of the swell but still had the winds making a mess of it. Only really for the keen.
Today the waves have started to clean up for SE QLD and Ballina with a few more options opening up as it calms down throughout the day. South of Ballina still looks like a mess with limited options.
It’ll be another decent day of waves for SE QLD with SW winds while N NSW improves as the day goes on, winds gradually swinging around to the SW by the afternoon. For the Mid N Coast it’ll take at least another day to clean things up with winds not going SW until late Thursday evening.
The improved conditions are occurring as the low finally shifts south and then east, away from the coast. It will intensify and continue to deliver swell, especially for the Mid N Coast.
For SE QLD and N NSW the swell will begin to ease from today already reaching it’s peak around the 4-6ft mark yesterday and this morning. It will be a gradual decline in swell for SE QLD about 4-5ft on Thursday, easing to 3-4ft Friday. As it drops more options will open up spreading the crowd out a bit.
Meanwhile another E/NE pulse will occur for southern parts of N NSW and the Mid N Coast tomorrow from about mid morning, peaking late around 5-6ft before slowly easing on Friday from 4-5ft+ in the morning.
On Friday there will also be a SE swell mixed in with it from the western flank of the low as it moves further offshore. This will add 2-3ft of SE swell across the region.
The weekend and next week
A weak and short lived S change will move through on Saturday morning, pushing the low further east. The change will only get as far north as Coffs Harbour and only really bring SW winds for the Mid N Coast. Further N winds will remain out of the W/NW under a region of high pressure. So really conditions will be calm to start the weekend. Winds will build out of the E/NE late in the day as a stronger S change approaches.
Swell wise Saturday will be the smallest day of the week with a moderate S swell filling in throughout the day, reaching 3ft+ on Sunday, smaller for SE QLD. This swell is just from the short-lived S change whipping up winds around S NSW and Tassie.
Another, stronger S change will move through on Sunday cooling the air temperature down and bringing a return to bumpier conditions. The swell associated with this change won’t fill in until Monday but expect larger waves than the previous S swell.
This larger S swell will originate from S and and W of Tassie and continue to be reinforced by more local S winds east of Tassie and up the entire east coast. Waves will peak Monday and Tuesday around the 4-6ft mark, smaller for SE QLD, before beginning to ease on Wednesday.
Winds will remain out of the S/SE for all regions on Monday. For Tuesday SE QLD will still have SE winds but a high over N NSW will bring lighter winds for N NSW and the Mid N Coast building out of the N later in the day.
Northerly winds will build on Wednesday ahead of yet another S change looking to move up into the region on Thursday. More on that in this Friday’s update.