We have a really nice S/SE groundswell on the way, generated by an intense polar low developing off the ice shelf SW of New Zealand over the weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The automated forecasts are calling for a significant jump in wave heights later Thursday and through Friday and Saturday. However, the source swell models are (in my view) incorrectly combining two swell trains. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Inconsistent amounts of E/NE trade-swell for the rest of the week, easing from the weekend.
Easing surf with nothing of note until late in the period.
Predominantly onshore winds are expected for the rest of the week, which will keep surface conditions a little below par. This is a shame as we’ve still got plenty of swell on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Plenty of swell inbound but winds will be the issue across the South West, more favourable to the north at periods.
Improving conditions down South as the swell eases, small but fun on the weekend. Slow period until later next week.
Easing swell with winds out of the north-eastern quadrant. Slow on the weekend though and into early next week.
Inconsistent but great run of swell out of the north-eastern quadrant with favourable winds.
It’s odd to be looking at this kind of synoptic setup in the middle of winter. A one-day wonder is one thing, but - following two days of large E'ly groundswell - we’re staring down the barrel of another whole week of solid E’ly surf. Though, there won't be quite the same quality seen over the last thirty six hours. More in the Forecaster Notes.
