Further north an interior upper trough and potential coastal trough/surface low will combine to drive an intense E/NE to NE wind flow through the Coral and Northern Tasman Sea, generating a large stormsurf by Fri.
A large high is now moving into the Tasman Sea and strengthening- that will be the main synoptic feature this week- setting up a deep ridge and a strong E’ly pattern through the Tasman Sea. Further north an interior upper trough and potential coastal trough/surface low will combine to drive an intense E/NE to NE wind flow through the Coral and Northern Tasman Sea.
Generally light variable winds all week should keep conditions clean across all coasts.
Solid surf from the NE then holds through next weekend as a large fetch of E/NE to NE winds extends through the Tasman Sea.
GFS has the more bullish outlook, with a trough or potential surface low forming off the Fraser Coast and tracking south through Fri13th- energising a long E to NE fetch through the Central Tasman to Coral Sea. In effect, it’s a slightly less energised version of the June 2016 Black Nor-Easter set-up.
A generally poor weekend with fun surf Monday and a better swell for Wednesday.
That high will set up a ridge through the week and essentially be the “anvil” for any trough or low pressure development in the Tasman or Coral Sea. A coastal trough off SEQLD/Fraser Coast and interior upper trough combine through the start of next week to increase SE/E winds, initially in the Coral Sea.
Tricky winds and swells this period but there are windows for a cleaner wave in between onshore periods.
Make the most of the waves on the Mid Coast today before the swell fades into the weekend. The South Coast will be fun.
A funky weekend of wind and surf as a low stalls across Tasmania. Settling surf and winds with better options for the beaches next week.
