We currently have a weak, troughy pattern in the Tasman Sea, with continuing instability across the tropics in the wake of an active, monsoon pattern. High pressure is expected to drift south of Tasmania this week, with a typical Summer SE wind pattern becoming established. Remnants of low pressure near New Zealand are offering up minor fetches out of Cook Strait (currently) and near the South Island which will supply a few small pulses of swell this week. 

Improving surf tomorrow but cleanest from Wednesday with some fun, slowly easing swell for the exposed beaches.

The coming outlook isn't ideal but there are a couple of fun sized swells with workable though tricky winds.

Into the new week and a fetch near the South Island over the weekend now looks weaker and more constrained than modelled on Wed but should still be capable of generating 2-3ft of surf for Mon, easing during the day. Winds look good with light NW breezes as a weak, troughy pattern hovers off the South Coast.