Slow, small outlook

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 16th July)

Best Days: No good days

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Small, weak pulses of SE swell tomorrow and Mon PM with offshore winds
  • Weak S'ly pulse Wed AM with strong S/SW winds, easing
  • Fading S swell Thu with W/NW winds
  • Possible N/NE swell next Sat


Small pulses of S/SE-SE swell for the desperate on the swell magnets yesterday and today.

This weekend and next week (Jul 17 - 23)

Small levels of weak SE swell are likely to persist across the exposed beaches tomorrow to 1-2ft, generated by a weak fetch of E'ly winds, south-east of us last night. This will fade Sunday and winds look offshore for the most part (possibly variable S tomorrow afternoon).

The slightly better pulse of SE swell on the cards for Monday is looking fairly average now with a weak fetch of SE winds due to be projected slightly towards us tomorrow morning. Size wise it only looks to maybe generate a small 1-2ft wave into the afternoon, fading Tuesday under fresh W/NW winds.

On Tuesday, a weak trough pushing up past us looks too short-lived to generate any real sizeable S'ly swell with a windswelly 3-4ft wave possible on Wednesday morning but with strong S/SW winds.

The swell will fade through the day as winds abate, clean Thursday but only 1-2ft if that.

Of more importance is a possible good N/NE windswell developing next Saturday. This will be as a vigorous and strengthen frontal progression approaches from the west, squeezing a strong high in the Tasman Sea. We may see 3ft to possibly 4ft of swell from this source, but check back here on Monday for more on this and possibly activity behind it. Have a great weekend!