Southerly and then north-east swells
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COVID-19 is changing the way we think about surfing. Travelling to the surf now means you're putting an unnecessary strain on the resources of small regional communities. So, please stay home. If you live near the beach and want to surf, please maintain a healthy spacing in the lineup, don't hang in the carpark, and keep your surf sessions shorter to allow others the opportunity to get wet. Above all, stay happy, healthy and look out for one another.
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 16th September)
Best Days: South magnets tomorrow morning, Thursday south magnets, Friday northern corners, Saturday, Sunday morning
Tiny surf on the weekend, similar today, though a front pushing up past us this afternoon should have kicked up a small increase in windswell.
This week and weekend (Sep 17 - 22)
The front moving up past us this afternoon should produce a small spike in S'ly swell to 3ft on the sets across south magnets tomorrow morning, easing through the day.
Winds will be favourable and W/NW through the morning gusty N'ly into the afternoon as the swell eases.
Into Thursday a real acute but strong S'ly groundswell should be seen across select south swell magnets, generated by a strong polar low moving through our southern swell window tomorrow and Wednesday. A fetch of polar storm-force W/SW winds will generate the swell, with it peaking through the morning across south facing beaches to 3-5ft, much more than the models are forecasting.
There'll also be a building N/NE windswell in the mix from a strengthen fetch of N/NE winds down the coast, building to 3ft later along with strong N/NW tending N/NE winds.
The S'ly swell will fade into Friday but the N/NE fetch will broaden and strengthen through the day, producing a further increase in N/NE swell through the day to the 4ft range along with N tending N/NE winds.
A weakening front moving in from the west on Friday evening will bring a NW change on Saturday along with the easing N/NE swell from 4-5ft as winds strengthen overnight just ahead of the change.
Sunday will be cleaner again but the swell fading rapidly from 2ft+.
Longer term there's nothing too significant on the cards so make the most of the coming week of waves.