Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 6th March)

Best Days: Wednesday and Thursday mornings, northern corners, Friday, Saturday and Sunday mornings

Recap

Good fun amounts of E/NE swell all weekend between 2-3ft, best out of the wind, while a S'ly groundswell was also in the mix Saturday morning.

This morning the swell had eased with poor onshore winds.

This week and weekend (Mar 7 - 12)

On Friday the outlook for this week was downgraded considerably as the Tasman Low forming to our north was forecast to smaller, weaker and short-lived.

Over the weekend we've seen a reversal of this outlook, with the low now due to be broader, stronger and long lived.

During this evening the low will really broaden in scope as it ridges with a strong high moving in under it.

We'll see a strong and broad fetch of SE winds initially on the edge of our swell window, with the fetch tending more E/SE through Wednesday and Thursday and retro-grading slightly (projecting west) towards us before slowly weakening Friday.

What will result is some small fun SE swell spreading out radially towards us from tomorrow afternoon, more E/SE Wednesday, easing a touch Thursday before the strongest pulse Friday afternoon from the retro-grade.

Also in the mix tomorrow should be a small S/SE groundswell but only to 2ft or so.

The SE swell should come in at a better 2-3ft although with onshore SE tending E'ly winds.

From Wednesday the surf looks good with the E/SE pulse coming in around 3ft or so with an early variable wind ahead of freshening NE breezes.

Thursday looks to ease slightly from 3ft under N/NW tending N/NE winds, so stick to northern corners.

Friday's pulse of E'ly groundswell should build to a solid 4-5ft+ through the day (smaller at dawn) with an offshore W/NW tending N/NE breeze.

The easing trend through the weekend will be slow due to the slow moving and pro-longed nature of the low, easing from 4-5ft Saturday morning, and 3-4ft Sunday.

Winds look offshore each morning, with afternoon sea breezes. We'll take another look at this Wednesday though.