Craig

Large powerful S/SW groundswell for the coming days

Java, Bali, Lombok, Sumbawa forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Tuesday 7th June)

Best Days:

This week and next (Jun 8 - 17)

Solid large waves all weekend between 6-8ft across exposed breaks, easing back into yesterday and further this morning.

This week's oversized S/SW groundswell is still on track with satellite observations confirming a vigorous polar low forming in the Heard Island region, aiming storm-force SW winds towards us for a prolonger period of time.

The swell impacted WA yesterday with peak periods of 22s and the swell rising to a huge 5m.

We should see the long-period fore-runners of this swell arriving through overnight, with the groundswell proper building strongly through tomorrow, reaching 6-8ft by midday and then a larger 10-12ft on dark.

A peak is expected Thursday to a large powerful and dangerous 12ft+ on the sets at exposed breaks, holding most of the day before easing back from the 10ft range Friday morning, further Saturday from 6ft+.

Moderate to fresh E/SE trades are set to favour the reefs over the coming period, lighter and variable early each morning.

Into Sunday a small to moderate and inconsistent S/SW groundswell is due from a polar low currently east of Heard Island, likely topping exposed breaks back up to 4-5ft.

Longer term persistent polar fronts will continue to generate groundswell pulses through next week in the 4-6ft range, with a larger swell on the cards late week. More on this Thursday.

16 day Bali Forecast Graph
16 day East Java Forecast Graph
16 day Sumbawa Forecast Graph

Comments

mibs-oner's picture
mibs-oner's picture
mibs-oner commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 4:43pm

It's like a fair well gift to me.

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 5:00pm

You over there Mibs?

mibs-oner's picture
mibs-oner's picture
mibs-oner commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 5:35pm

Yeah mate staying at komune with the family. Been firing for a week straight. Spewing it's dead low tide at first light this place needs some water rushing in the get working

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 6:07pm

See ya tomorrow mibs!
At ulus, not komune...

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 6:40pm

another day at Outside Corner....

crip's picture
crip's picture
crip commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 10:23pm

Woohoo. 3.8m @16s @200 = Speedies!
Mind you, it would be a bit big for little old cripple me. I'd be down at chickens or 20-20s ;)

sarge4's picture
sarge4's picture
sarge4 commented Tuesday, 7 Jun 2016 at 11:09pm

Last few days super fun. Last night pumping up on the ledge. Today slow with very light winds but looked like signs of south very late in the day. Fk knows what tomorrow brings....

Oi

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Thursday, 9 Jun 2016 at 10:42am

What happened to the swell?!

Inconsistent 6-8 at ulu today, bit bigger last night.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 9 Jun 2016 at 10:48am

Wow really? Didn't hit? A swell did the same thing last year..

Super long periods steering it into some spots and not others?

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Thursday, 9 Jun 2016 at 10:57am

Yeah I was surprised this morning when I checked it. Went out anyway in the hope it might start pulsing but yeah it's pretty slow.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig commented Thursday, 9 Jun 2016 at 11:02am

Bummer :(

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot commented Thursday, 9 Jun 2016 at 11:06am

Hahah I'm not complaining!

6ft indo is a bit better than onshore vicco!

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml commented Thursday, 9 Jun 2016 at 11:58am

Bit of a small one in sa too yestatdtay. Long distant groundy juat small with north winds