Check the forecast graph - we’ve got ten consecutive days of windy conditions coming up, initially related to an amplifying Long Wave Trough steering a succession of vigorous cold fronts across the state.
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The final front/low in the Southern Ocean sequence is expected to track below WA on Friday, and as it’ll hug the ice shelf, will be much better positioned within the South Arm’s swell window.
A polar low developing off the ice shelf on Sunday (well below SA) is better positioned for a swell increase across the South Arm.
Clean conditions are expected for the next few days as a ridge of high pressure over Bass Strait freshens a N/NE flow across southern Tasmania.
Thursday and Friday look much better, with freshening N/NE winds as a deepening low pressure trough off the NSW coast and an approaching front from the west squeezes the pressure gradient.
Tiny surf for the weekend and more opportunity next week with a mix of new swells.
A small, fun pulse of swell to end off the week ahead of a better swell next week but with what looks to be poor winds.
Easing surf with clean conditions over the coming days ahead of a new swell late week.
Easing surf over the coming days but slowed by a couple of reinforcing pulses.
Plenty of surf over the coming days, large at stages before easing into next week and becoming quiet.