Nothing complicated about the f/cast for CQ over the weekend and into next week. The Coral Sea proximate to CQ develops a 15-20knot tradewind coverage today and extending into next week and that will see a steady drumbeat of small, fun waves.
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That will see a short/medium term pattern of onshore winds and small summer surf becoming established over the weekend as weak Tradewinds set up in the Coral Sea. Tradewinds next week and a monsoonal low suggest plenty of E swell.
We currently have a weak, troughy pattern in the Tasman Sea, with continuing instability across the tropics in the wake of an active, monsoon pattern. High pressure is expected to drift south of Tasmania this week, with a typical Summer wind pattern becoming established. Remnants of low pressure near New Zealand are offering up minor fetches out of Cook Strait (currently) and near the South Island which are outside the CQ swell window.
Barely rideable surf this weekend and then tiny/flat for most of next week
We may see a brief spike in swell this weekend as a low forms off the North QLD coast, seeing a brief flaring of SE-ESE winds along the Capricorn Coast and extending into the Coral Sea.
Next possible surf is this weekend a a tropical low is expected to drift down from the Far North QLD coast. We should see an infeed of E/NE winds later Fri, leading to a fast rising spike in E swell Sat.
Next possible surf is this weekend a a tropical low is expected to drift down from the Far North QLD coast. We should see an infeed of E/NE winds later Fri, leading to a fast rising spike in E swell Sat.
No change to the weekend f/cast. A Monsoonal low continues to send ESE swell to exposed breaks but this low is now beginning to drift southwards, away from the CQ swell window.
The building blocks for a classic Summer monsoonal pattern are now firmly in place and almost the entire Eastern Seaboard from the Tropic of Capricorn to Tasmania is going receive swell as a result of it.
We’re now on the cusp of a dynamic, tropical induced blocking pattern with low pressure hiving off an active monsoon trough in the Coral Sea and meandering in Coral Sea before drifting down into the Northern Tasman. The high pressure belt holds good support for this low pressure area with reinforcing cells stacking onto a slow moving system located at South Island latitudes. This will see an extended E’ly swell event, with days of pumping E/SE swell ahead.